NFL week 2 betting: Patriots, Saints desperate to avoid 0-2 start to 2017

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Updated: September 17, 2017

Our NFL expert James ‘Big Jim’ Potter returned almost 50 per cent profit on your NFL investments in week 1 and has a full card for tonight’s (AET) bulk of the card. He has five units in play as the New Orleans Saints host the New England Patriots with both clubs desperate to avoid a 0-2 start to the 2017 NFL regular season; overall results: 16-3-9, +11.76 units

 

NFL week 2: New England Patriots (0-1, 0-0 away) @ New Orleans Saints (0-1, 0-0 home)
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
When: Monday, September 18, 3am (AET)
Lines: New England -6, O/U 55.5

Confirmed bets: New England -6 (three units @ $1.96), -57/total (two units @ $1.97)

TIW says: The defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots have had 10 days to stew over their shocking 42-27 season-opening home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. They have not started a season 0-2 since 2001, a streak they hope to keep intact when they visit New Orleans. Coincidentally, Patriotsquarterback Tom Brady took over as starter following those losses and guided New England to the first of five Super Bowl titles and winning the first at this venue.

Not only were 42 points the most allowed since coach Bill Belichick arrived in New England, but star linebacker Dont’a Hightower (knee, pictured below) was injured in week 1 and his status for Sunday is unclear. The Patriots’ defense was outscored by 21 points and outgained by 200 yards in the fourth quarter. It’s early days but Brady is ranked last in the league with a completion percentage of 44.4 and has problems at wide receiver with Julian Edelman out for the year.

 

Malcolm Mitchell is also on injured reserve while Danny Amendola is in the NFL’s concussion protocol. Brady’s security blanket, tight end Rob Gronkowski, looked rusty in the loss to the Chiefs, catching just two passes for 33 yards. This will be a homecoming of sorts for wideout Brandin Cooks, who had three catches for 88 yards in his New England debut after he was acquired from the Saints in the offseason for a pair of high draft picks.

The New Orleans Saints looked as befuddled as ever defensively and uncharacteristically impotent on offense in a 29-19 Monday night road loss to the Minnesota Vikings. But this team is a different animal when playing on a fast track under the Superdome where Brees has averaged 357.7 yards in his last 15 home games. Playing without wide receiver Willie Snead, Brees finished with 291 yards and a touchdown against the Vikings.

 

Tight end Colby Fleener (touchdown), wideout Mike Thomas and running back Mark Ingram each hauled in five receptions. The ground game was stagnant as Adrian Peterson tied for the team high with 18 yards on six carries in his debut for New Orleans. The Saints will likely try to establish the running game to take the pressure off a defense that surrendered 470 total yards to Minnesota and was among the league’s worst in 2016 with averages of 375.4 yards and 28.4 points allowed.

Brees tossed five TD passes and had a perfect passer rating (158.3) in the Patriots’ last visit to New Orleans in 2009 where they were smashed 38-17. The Patriots dominated as a road favourite last season, going 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS, while not losing a game away from Foxboro in nine outings. Since 2013, the Pats have covered in six of eight opportunities against NFC opponents on the road. The Saints are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS as home underdogs.

 

Other confirmed bets

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks -44 (three units @ $1.93)
Arizona Cardinals @ Indianapolis Colts +7 (three units @ $1.88)
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars -41.5 (three units @ $1.95)

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens -39 (two units @ $1.91)
Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -43.5 (two units @ $1.94)
Arizona Cardinals @ Indianapolis Colts +44 (two units @ $2.00)
Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers +43 (two units @ $1.93)
New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders -13.5 (two units @ $2.00)
New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders +43.5 (two units @ $1.98)
Miami Dolphins +3.5 @ Los Angeles Chargers (two units @ $1.88)
Dallas Cowboys -2.5 @ Denver Broncos (two units @ $1.95)
Dallas Cowboys @ Denver Broncos -43 (two units @ $1.94)
Green Bay Packers +2.5 @ Atlanta Falcons (two units @ $2.00)
Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons -56.5 (two units @ $1.93)

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars WIN (one unit @ $2.05)
Philadelphia Eagles +5 @ Kansas City Chiefs (one unit @ $1.94)
Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs -47 (one unit @ $1.92)
Minnesota Vikings +7 @ Pittsburgh Steelers (one unit @ $1.90)
Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers -45 (one unit @ $1.91)
Washington Redskins +3 @ Los Angeles Rams (one unit @ $1.95)
San Francisco 49ers +14 @ Seattle Seahawks (one unit @ $1.93)

 

Thursday Night Football results: 1-0-1, +1.94 units

Houston Texans +6 @ Cincinnati Bengals (three units @ $1.98) WIN (13-9)
Houston Texans @ Cincinnati Bengals +38/total (one unit @ $1.97) LOSE (13-9)

Results update

Three-unit bets: 4-0-3, +2.19 units
Two-unit bets: 6-2-2, +8.86 units
One-unit bets: 7-1-5, +0.71 units

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Pinnacle (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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