Some finger-lickin’ good tips: The Inside Word’s mail for September 9

Updated: September 8, 2017

Yes, there was a Colonel Sanders and he did create Kentucky Fried Chicken. Colonel Harland David Sanders (born on this day, September 9, in 1890) worked in numerous jobs until he started selling fried chicken from his roadside restaurant in North Corbin, Kentucky, during the Great Depression. Sanders recognised the potential of the restaurant franchising concept, and the first KFC franchise opened in Utah in 1952. The company’s rapid expansion across the United States and overseas was overwhelming for Sanders and, in 1964, he sold the company to a group of for $2 million ($15.4 million today). He wasn’t a military Colonel, rather a Kentucky colonel – a title bestowed in recognition of noteworthy accomplishments and outstanding service to the community. Sanders passed away on December 16, 1980 at the age of 90.


MLB betting (September 9)

While most people are talking about the Indians and Diamondbacks respective impressive winning streaks, the American League leading Houston Astros have quietly won seven straight. They go for eight in a row tonight when they visit the A’s in Oakland. Collin McHugh has allowed just one earned run over his past three outings and limited opponents to two runs or fewer in six of his past seven starts. That includes six scoreless innings in a 3-0 win over Oakland on August 19; overall record: 290-16-260, +40.45 units

Confirmed bets (card finalised)

Houston Astros -1.5 @ Oakland Athletics (one unit @ $1.95)
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets +8.5 (one unit @ $1.94)
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (one unit @ $1.88)
Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (one unit @ $2.00)
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals -1.5 (one unit @ $1.71)
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs -7.5 (one unit @ $2.08)
Colorado Rockies +1.5 @ Los Angeles Dodgers (one unit @ $1.85)

Today’s other games

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Indians
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants @ Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

Yesterday’s results: 2-1-1, +2.07 units

Cleveland Indians -1.5 @ Chicago White Sox (three units @ $1.71) WIN (11-2)
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets +9 (one unit @ $1.98) PUSH (2-7)
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (one unit @ $1.79) LOSE (9-1)
Minnesota Twins WIN @ Kansas City Royals (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (4-2)


CFL week 12 betting (September 9)

It’s been a typically wacko season in the CFL with West teams totally dominating the East. There’s only one East v West match-up this week as the BC Lions host the Montreal Alouettes. We were bullish on the Als earlier in the campaign but after last week’s 32-4 setback to Ottawa, we’re not keen to invest in them here. The BC Lions also have something to prove as they’ve been winless for more than a month but with Travis Lulay taking the ball tonight, the Lions should tear Darian Durant and Montreal apart; overall record: 17-1-12, +7.49 units

CFL week 12: Montreal Alouettes (3-0-7, 0-0-4 away) @ BC Lions (5-0-5, 2-0-2 home)
Where: BC Place, Vancouver, BC, Canada
When: Saturday, September 8, 12pm (AET)
Lines: BC Lions -8.5, O/U 49.5
Confirmed bet: BC Lions -8.5 (three units @ $1.94)

Week 11 results update: 1-0-1, +1.0 units

Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5/1H (one unit @ $1.95) LOSE (7-3)
Edmonton Eskimos @ Calgary Stampeders -10 (two units @ $2.00) WIN (18-39)

NCAAF week 2 betting (September 9)

With a Heisman Trophy candidate (Mason Rudolph) at quarterback and a strong running game, no. 11 Oklahoma State will again flex their offensive might as they take on South Alabama in Mobile tonight. The Cowboys were 66th nationally in rushing last season at 170.8 yards per game, but gained nearly double that amount (332) in their season-opening 59-24 victory over Tulsa. This Jaguars team will provide sterner opposition.  Last year, South Alabama went on the road to stun Mississippi State and knocked off #19 San Diego State at home, 42-24, on its way to a bowl game; overall record: 10-1-5, +4.36 units

Confirmed betting

Oklahoma State @ South Alabama +28 (one unit @ $1.92)

Today’s other games

Alcorn State @ Florida International
Ohio @ Purdue
Memphis @ UCF (postponed)

Most recent results: 8-1-1, +7.44 units

Florida State @ Alabama -51 (two units @ $1.93) WIN (7-24)
Akron @ Penn State -30.5/line (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (0-52)
Kentucky -10 @ Southern Miss (one unit @ $1.97) LOSE (24-17)
Michigan -4.5 @ Florida (one unit @ $1.95) WIN (33-17)
California @ North Carolina +57.5 (one unit @ $1.95) WIN (35-30)
Troy @ Boise State -58.5 (one unit @ $1.95) WIN (13-24)
Georgia Southern @ Auburn -34 (one unit @ $1.91) PUSH (7-41)
Western Michigan @ USC +59.5 (one unit @ $1.97) WIN (31-49)
Liberty @ Baylor +58 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (48-45)
Brigham Young @ LSU -47.5 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (0-27)


AFL week 1 finals betting (September 9)

AFL finals action continues today with a pair of elimination finals. In the first match-up, the rampaging Sydney Swans host the Bombers. Essendon have already achieved a significant result by reaching the top eight but the red-hot Swans should be far too classy in this spot. In the second game, Port Adelaide will start favourites against the Eagles but look vulnerable against a side that knocked off the minor premier Crows in the final round of the home and away season; overall record: 71-4-50, +48.6 units

AFL second elimination final: Sydney (14-8) v Essendon (12-10)
Where: SCG, Melbourne, Vic
When: Saturday, September 9, 4.20pm (AET)
Line: Sydney -27.5 ® -36.5, O/U 174.5
Confirmed bet: Sydney -36.5 (two units @ $1.91)

AFL first elimination final: Port Adelaide (14-8) v West Coast (12-10)
Where: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA
When: Saturday, September 9, 7.50pm (AET)
Lines: Port Adelaide -14.5 (no change), O/U 167.5
Confirmed bets: West Coast +14.5 (one unit @ $1.90)

Week 1 finals results update: 2-0-0, +3.8 units

Geelong v Richmond-163.5 (three units @ $1.90) WIN (40-91)
Geelong v Richmond WIN (one unit @ $2.10) WIN (40-91)

Overall results

Three-unit bets: 20-1-6, +36.2 units
Two-unit bets: 22-2-17, +9.0 units
One-unit bets: 31-1-27, +3.4 units


NRL week 1 finals (September 9)

There are two NRL finals scheduled today, kicking off with a qualifying showdown between the Storm and Eels. Cameron Smith plays his 356th NRL game to break Darren Lockyer’s record. While the Eels have been in fine form, stopping the minor premiers on Smith’s big day is a massive task. The later game features the Sea Eagles and Panthers in a cut-throat elimination final. Manly take the better form of the two teams into the match, with Penrith losing their past two while they are also missing skipper Matt Moylan.

NRL qualifying final: Melbourne Storm (20-4) v Parramatta Eels (16-8)
Where: AAMI Park, Melbourne, Vic
When: Saturday, September 9, 4.10pm (AET)
Line: Storm -12, O/U 37.5
Confirmed bet: -37.5 (three units @ $1.90)

NRL elimination final: Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (14-10) v Penrith Panthers (13-11)
Where: Allianz Stadium, Sydney, NSW
When: Saturday, September 9, 7.40pm (AET)
Line: Sea Eagles -3.5, O/U 38.5
Confirmed bet: Panthers +3.5 (two units @ $1.92)


EPL betting (September 9-10)

The raw data suggests that this should be a tight affair but we’re expecting a defensively bereft affair as Manchester City host Liverpool in the EPL match of the day. Both these sides are on seven points after three games but it’s Liverpool who will come into this encounter full of confidence after thrashing Arsenal just before the international break. With his explosive front three of Sadio Mane, Roberto Firmino and Mo Salah having already banged in nine goals between them, Jurgen Klopp has the tools to cause City real damage on the break; overall record: 3-0-4, -2.28 units

Confirmed betting

Manchester City v Liverpool +3.5/total (two units @ $2.35)
Everton +1/hcp v Tottenham Hotspur (two units @ $1.75)
Brighton & Hove Albion v West Bromwich Albion DRAW (one unit @ $3.00)
Southampton v Watford +1/hcp (one unit @ $2.20)

Today’s other games

Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth
Leicester City v Chelsea
Stoke City v Manchester United

Results update: 0-0-3, -5.0 units

Manchester United v Leicester City +2.5/total (three units @ $1.60) LOSE (2-0)
Bournemouth v Manchester City/WIN to nil (one unit @ $2.15) LOSE (1-2)
Watford WIN v Brighton & Hove Albion (one unit @ $2.00) LOSE (0-0)



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Pinnacle (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s game will follow in the next post.

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