MLB betting (August 31): Strasburg to continue winning run over Marlins

Updated: August 30, 2017

It’s a busy day in Major League Baseball due to a pair of postponed games yesterday. For our best of the early session, we’re heading to Nationals Park for the series finale between Washington and Miami. Stephen Strasburg has thrown more career innings (143) and logged more wins (13) while facing the Marlins than any other club, and we’re banking on him continuing that record here; overall record: 265-14-243, +27.79 units


MLB best of the day: Miami Marlins (66-65, 31-36 away) @ Washington Nationals (80-51, 39-27 home)
Where: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
When: Thursday, August 31, 6.05am (AET)
Starters: Adam Conley (MIA, 6-5, 5.17 ERA), Stephen Strasburg (WSH, 10-4, 3.10 ERA)
Prices: Miami $2.92, Washington $1.48, O/U 8.5

Confirmed bet: Washington -1.5 (three units @ $2.00)

TIW says: Stephen Strasburg has more wins against the Miami Marlins than any other opponent and aims to improve that record when the teams conclude a three-game series in this day game at Nationals Park. Strasburg took the win with seven innings of two-run ball on the opening day of the 2017 season to improve to 13-7 lifetime against the Marlins. Strasburg is 13-7 with a 3.46 ERA in 26 career starts against the Marlins. Washington have outscored Miami 19-5 in the first two games of the series to join the Los Angeles Dodgers as the only team in the majors to win 80 games.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon had a pair of hits and drove in four runs in yesterday’s 8-3 victory to reach 85 RBIs for the season, tying the career high he set last year in 156 games.  Strasburg was on the disabled list from July 27 to August 19. In two starts since coming off the DL, he is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA. Strasburg was turning in a masterful performance at Houston last time out before cramps led to his departure, but he exited after pitching six scoreless innings of three-hit ball. While the Marlins are reduced to slim playoff hopes, Washington’s Dusty Baker (pictured below) said he is already managing with an eye to the postseason.


That meant infielder Wilmer Difo started in right field yesterday after playing shortstop for several weeks. Shortstop Trea Turner, hit in the wrist with a pitch in late June, returned from the disabled list and started at shortstop as the leadoff hitter. He went 1-for-4 and made a key catch in the first inning with the bases loaded. Turner’s return occurred a day after right-hander Max Scherzer and outfielder Jayson Werth came off the disabled list. Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton belted his major league-leading 51st homer overall and 18th this month, tying the record (Rudy York, 1937) for the most blasts in August.

The reigning NL Player of the Week, Stanton has enjoyed plenty of success against Strasburg while batting .366 (15-for-41) with three homers, eight doubles and 11 RBIs. Adam Conley takes the ball for the Marlins here – he escaped with a no-decision last time out against San Diego despite being knocked around for five runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings. The 27-year-old was overpowering in his previous turn against the New York Mets, notching 11 strikeouts while yielding one run and three hits in seven innings. He was tagged for five runs and 11 hits at Washington on August 9, falling to 1-3 with an 8.22 against the Nationals.


Other confirmed bets (card finalised)

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers -9 (one unit @ $2.05)
Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies -12 (one unit @ $1.95)
Cleveland Indians @ New York Yankees (2) -8.5 (one unit @ $2.03)
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres WIN (one unit @ $1.80)
Los Angeles Dodgers WIN @ Arizona Diamondbacks (one unit @ $1.85)
Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (one unit @ $2.35)


Today’s other games

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies (1)
Cleveland Indians @ New York Yankees (1)
Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies (2)
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals


Yesterday’s results: 4-0-3, +0.32 units

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks -9 (two units @ $1.85) LOSE (6-7)
Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies -1.5 (one unit @ $2.12) WIN (3-7)
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins -9 (one unit @ $2.06) LOSE (4-6)
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs -1.5 (one unit @ $2.02) WIN (1-4)
Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles WIN (one unit @ $1.70) WIN (0-4)
Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (one unit @ $2.48) WIN (2-8)
New York Mets WIN @ Cincinnati Reds (one unit @ $2.43) LOSE (4-14)



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Unibet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Bets void if listed pitchers do not start. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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