CFL week 5 betting (July 25): Redblacks out for revenge against Argonauts

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Updated: July 24, 2017

The first meeting between the Toronto Argonauts and Ottawa Redblacks ended in a narrow win for the Double Blue back on July 8. Most of the money has flowed to the Argos, who are better rested for this match-up but the Redblacks bring some momentum to the table in a revenge spot against a divisional rival. It’s likely to be a high scoring affair in which we’ll be taking the field-goal advantage handed to the reigning Grey Cup champions; overall record: 9-6, +3.06 units – latest CFL standings here

 

CFL week 5: Ottawa Redblacks (2-0-1, 1-0-0 away) @ Toronto Argonauts (3-0-1, 0-0-1 home)
Where: BMO Field, Toronto, ON, Canada
When: Tuesday, July 25, 9.30am (AET)
Lines: Toronto -3.5, O/U 54
Confirmed bet: Ottawa +3.5 (three units @ $1.91)

TIW says: Who would have thought nine short days ago that Ottawa’s week 5 trip to Ontario’s capital would be for first place in the CFL’s East Division? At the time, the Redblacks were toiling at 0-1-3 while the Toronto Argonauts were flying the banner in first place at 2-2. Fast forward through Ottawa’s 24-19 win against Montreal last Wednesday and, suddenly, Monday night’s Argos- Redblacks grudge match is a battle for East Division supremacy. While Toronto are better-rested and have had more time to prepare with Ottawa having played twice – including a cross-country trip to Edmonton – during the 11 days since the Argos last played, the Redblacks insist they’re healthy and ready for this rivalry contest.

This rare Monday night contest is the second and final meeting this regular season between these East Division rivals. The Argonauts have had more than a week to dissect their 33-25 loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and hope to make the proper adjustments to their red zone offence by beating the Redblacks for the second time in 16 days following a thrilling 26-25 victory in the nation’s capital July 13. Toronto had to settle for six field goals against the Blue Bombers and hope that a resurgent Ricky Ray, who leads the CFL with 382 passing yards per game, can propel the Argos past Ottawa for the seventh time in the past nine meetings.

 

Ottawa picked up their first win of the season after holding off the Montreal Alouettes 24-19 last Wednesday. The Redblacks had dropped their previous three games by a combined seven points, but the defence came up big by stuffing the Alouettes on a third-and-1 on the eight-yard line with less than two minutes to play and hope to have enough energy in the tank to make the best of a scheduling quirk that means they will be playing their third game in 11 nights. Trevor Harris (pictured above) completed 29-of-41 passes for 376 yards and two touchdowns, including an 80-yard scoring toss to Greg Ellingson, who finished with six receptions for 149 yards, to help lift Ottawa past Montreal.

Ottawa’s defence will be boosted by the return of Khalil Bass to the line-up; the former Blue Bomber (2015-16) missed Wednesday’s contest on the one-game injured list after registering a team-high 18 tackles through the first four games of the season. The Redblacks have also signed defensive back C.J. Roberts, who had 26 tackles and two interceptions in seven games with Winnipeg last season, and defensive lineman Mike Wakefield. Kenny Shaw, Nick Taylor and Juron Criner remain on the six-game injury list. The Redblacks are 6-1 ATS in their past seven games overall while the Argonauts are 3-13 ATS in their past 16 games overall.

 

Week 5 results update: 1-0, +1.86 units

Winnipeg Blue Bombers +4.5 @ BC Lions (two units @ $1.93) WIN (42-45)

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to William Hill (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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