NRL betting (round 21 for July 28): Sharks, Broncos favoured for tonight

Updated: July 28, 2017

It’s a huge night of NRL action with the Sharks in Auckland to take on the Warriors while Parramatta face a massive clash at ANZ Stadium against Brisbane. James Potter of is with the Warriors at the line for his best of the evening – latest NRL standings here


NRL round 21: NZ Warriors (7-11) v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (12-6)
Where: Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland, NZ
When: Friday, July 28, 6pm (AET)
Line: Sharks -3.5, O/U 36.5

Confirmed bet: Warriors +3.5 (two units @ $1.92)

TIW says: On the back of three-successive losses, the 12th-placed New Zealand Warriors need an upset win if they are to have any chance of an improbable finals berth. In their favour is an impressive home record – with only two losses this season. At home the Warriors average 20.5 points scored and concede 20.1 on average at home, 4.3 less than their away tallies. The Warriors are 3-7 against top eight teams this year. New Zealand have conceded at least 24 points in six of their past nine. Coach Stephen Kearney has maintained the same 17 who went down 24-12 to the Cowboys in Townsville last week.

The defending champions are playing to secure a top-four berth. The Sharks have been excellent on the road this season and can’t afford to drop this match against the Warriors in their quest for back-to-back premierships. Cronulla have been outstanding on the road this year with seven wins in eight away games. The Sharks have won just three of their last six matches. Fa’amanu Brown replaces the injured James Maloney at five-eighth, while Jack Bird makes his return after missing last week’s match against the Rabbitohs. Cronulla have won seven of their past nine against New Zealand though the past four have all been decided by a single score.


NRL round 21: Parramatta Eels (11-7) v Brisbane Broncos (12-6)
Where: ANZ Stadium, Penrith, NSW
When: Friday, July 28, 7.50pm (AET)
Line: Broncos -6.5, O/U 39.5

Confirmed bet: -39.5/total (one unit @ $1.90)

TIW says: The Eels have been dealt a huge blow to their finals and premiership aspirations, with the in-form Clint Gutherson ruled out for the season after suffering an ACL injury in last week’s win over the Tigers. Flyer Bevan French will move to fullback to cover Gutherson and Josh Hoffman will take French’s spot on the wing. Parramatta have been one of the form teams of the premiership with six wins in their past seven matches. They have climbed to seventh on the table with an 11-7 record and have not conceded more than 16 points in any of their last four.

Meanwhile, the Broncos will be boosted by the return of their skipper and fullback Darius Boyd and will be looking to maintain their top four spot with a win over the surging Eels. Brisbane welcome back their fullback for this crucial clash – the return of Darius Boyd for the Broncos is timely ahead of their run home to the finals, given they are just one win ahead of Parramatta and are involved in a tight race for a double chance. Brisbane are the top attacking team and are third on the ladder with a 12-6 record. The Broncos have won four of their past five, posting 30-plus in three of their past four. Brisbane have conceded at least 18 in six of their past seven.



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); best AU price available is quoted, correct at time of publication. Results/comments on this week’s games will follow in the next post.

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