CFL week 5 betting (July 20): Hump day headache for winless Redblacks

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Updated: July 19, 2017

The Montreal Alouettes and Ottawa Redblacks kick-off week 5 in Canadian football on a quick turnaround for this rare Wednesday night match-up, which will be played in warm and humid conditions in the nation’s capital; overall record: 7-5, +2.14 units – latest CFL standings here

 

CFL week 5: Montreal Alouettes (2-0-2, 0-1 away) @ Ottawa Redblacks (0-1-3, 0-0-2 home)
Where: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON, Canada
When: Thursday, July 20, 9.30am (AET)
Lines: Ottawa -4.5, O/U 49.5

Confirmed bet: Montreal +4.5 (three units @ $1.95)

TIW says: The Ottawa Redblacks have won five of their past six against the Montreal Alouettes and will be desperate to improve that mark when they host their East Division rivals tonight. The Redblacks are winless so far in 2017 but have faced a tough schedule over the past month and have played some decent football, especially in the pair of Grey Cup rematches against Calgary. In the midst of an 11-day, three-game stretch, the Redblacks are hurting on the defensive side of the ball. Ottawa’s two leading tacklers, Nick Taylor (28) and Khalil Bass (21), are on the injured list (Taylor for six games) with Serderius Bryant and Adam Berger joining the line-up.

Antoine Pruneau will drop down into a linebacker spot along with Bryant, while Berger will take over duties at safety. Quarterback Trevor Harris has amassed respectable numbers despite the reigning champion’s slow start to this campaign. He’s thrown for 1379 yards at a completion rate of 71.5 per cent for eight touchdowns and just two interceptions. Harris has scored wins in three of his four starts against Montreal. The Redblacks have averaged more than 31 points per game across their past six, four of which have played ‘over’ the quoted total.

 

Myriad personnel changes made for low expectations in their first year under new GM Kavis Reed but entering week 5, Jacques Chapdelaine’s Alouettes are tied for the division lead at a respectable 2-2. Montreal can establish their credentials as a legitimate threat in the wide open East with a road victory here. They made a statement with Saturday’s 30-23 win over the heavily-favoured Calgary Stampeders – a side that the Redblacks couldn’t beat in two attempts already this season. In order to pick up a successive victory, Chapdelaine’s squad may have to find a way to keep the offence rolling without star running back Tyrell Sutton and his CFL-best 295 rush yards.

Brandon Rutley will get his first start since 2016 in the Montreal backfield and looks poised for a breakout game. The San Jose State alum rushed for nearly 500 yards last season and has averaged just shy of five yards per carry in his four-year CFL career. Pivot Darian Durant has been decent since joining the Als from Saskatchewan, throwing four touchdowns to equal four interceptions and completing roughly two thirds of his passes. The top-ranked Alouette defence will get a boost with the return of defensive back Jonathon Mincy from the injured list.

 

Week 4 results update: 1-1, +1.82 units

Ottawa Redblacks +6 @ Edmonton Eskimos (three units @ $1.94) WIN (21-23)
Calgary Stampeders @ Montreal Alouettes -49.5 (one unit @ $2.09) LOSE (23-30)

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to William Hill (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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