ICC Champions Trophy betting (June 15): India one step from dream final

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Updated: June 15, 2017

The last two encounters between these two nations in ICC tournaments have been close contests and India will still need to play at their best to beat Bangladesh and win a place in the 2017 ICC Champions Trophy final against Pakistan. India know that they cannot let their guard down so our man Himanshu Kishnani expects they will come fully prepared and progress at the expense of the gritty Tigers.

ICC Champions Trophy semi-final: Bangladesh v India
Where: Edgbaston, Birmingham, England
When: Thursday, June 15, 7.30pm (AET)
Prices: Bangladesh $4.50, India $1.20

Confirmed betting: India WIN

TIW says: Well, it’s been unpredictable if nothing else! The bottom-ranked team entering the tournament, Pakistan are through to the ICC Champions Trophy final after a stunning upset win over hosts England in Cardiff. England were the only team with three victories in the group stage, scoring more than 300 in two games. But all of that counted for nothing after they ran into a spirited Pakistan unit, which duly bowled the home side out for 211 in 49.5 overs. England was limping at 6-169 after 40, having lost 4 for 44 in 11 overs, and scored only one boundary in the last 12 overs, adding only 42 in the final 10. The Pakistani batsmen then did the job in composed fashion in just 37.1 overs. Openers Azhar Ali (76) and Fakhar Zaman (57) scored half-centuries and setting up the chase with a 118-run stand before Babar Azam chipped in with 38 not out and Mohammad Hafeez with an unbeaten 31. The win was all-the-more notable as it was achieved without Mohammad Amir, who was ruled out with back spasms.

 

Pakistan will now be joined by either India or Bangladesh. Virat Kohli’s Men in Blue stormed into the semi-finals after beating South Africa convincingly at the Oval in their final group game. India have beaten Bangladesh five times in their previous seven attempts in the 50-overs format. They played their opening game against Pakistan at the Edgbaston and emerged victorious by a handsome margin, and are overwhelming favourites to win this match.

Bangladesh have a dismal overall record against India and they have never won an ODI at this ground. Though India have beaten Bangladesh in every other ODI, they cannot afford to be complacent against a side that is known for causing upsets, especially in major ICC tournaments. Their recent win over New Zealand shows that they cannot be taken lightly.

The pitch to be used in the semi-final at Edgbaston has not been used in the tournament; unless it changes drastically over the game, these sides should not have any real preference for batting or bowling first. The weather seems to have finally settled in Birmingham, and we shouldn’t have any interruptions. India have finished at the top of Group B with two wins and one setback from their three matches. They overwhelmed Pakistan in their opening fixture but were stunned by Sri Lanka in their next one before securing a devastating triumph over South Africa in a must-win contest.

Shikhar Dhawan (pictured below) is enjoying a brilliant campaign having hit one hundred and two fifties in three matches. Virat Kohli played a profitable thump in the last match and scored an unbeaten 81 against Pakistan at this ground. Bhuvneshwar Kumar and Jasprit Bumrah have had a decent tournament to date – they might not have taken a stack wickets but have been fruitful in keeping the batsmen tied up. The Indian team is by all accounts free from injury concerns with every one of their players in good physical condition.

 

Bangladesh have done extremely well to reach the semi-finals. After being thrashed by the hosts in their first match and grabbing some hope from their washed out match against Australia, the Tigers stunned the Kiwis in a do-or-die clash to finish second in their group. Tamim Iqbal has been the star entertainer with the bat for Bangladesh. The opener has scored the most runs for his side this Champions Trophy and will be needed to give his team another blazing start.

Shakib Al Hasan and Mahmudullah both struck twin hundreds in the last match against New Zealand and will be the key batsmen down the order. Mustafizur Rahman will be the bowler to watch. His capacity to outfox batsmen with his off-cutters makes him a major threat. There are no injuries in the Bangladeshi camp but they may play Taskin Ahmed as an extra bowler who can strengthen their pace attack. India should elect to go with their two genuine fast bowlers Jasprit Bumrah and Bhuvaneshwar Kumar, spin duo Ravichandran Ashwin and Ravindra Jadeja and Hardik Pandya as a fast bowling all-rounder.

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games will follow in the next post.

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