State of Origin game 2 betting: Qld Maroons swing axe after opening loss

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Updated: June 20, 2017

NSW take a 1-0 lead into Game 2 of the State of Origin series against the Queensland Maroons tonight at ANZ Stadium where they’ve won five of the past eight. The Blues turned the tables in the opener with a 28-4 win at Suncorp, making it two wins on the trot for NSW after they won the dead rubber last year. The last four times the road team has won the series opener they wrapped the series up on home turf. All the momentum appears to be with NSW tonight; series record: 1-1, +0.8 units

 

State of Origin, Game 2: New South Wales v Queensland
Where: ANZ Stadium, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW
When: Wednesday, June 21, 8.15pm (AET)
Line: NSW -3.5, O/U 31.5

Confirmed bet: NSW -3.5 (two units @ $1.91)

TIW says: Did a dynasty just fall or was it just a minor setback in the recent history of Queensland dominance over New South Wales? We’ll dig a little deeper into this discussion tonight when the Blues host the Maroons for Game 2 of the 2017 State of Origin series. Demanding no let-up after a rampant, record-setting 28-4 victory over Queensland at Suncorp Stadium in Game 1, NSW coach Laurie Daley said the Blues cashed in on the Maroons’ misfortune in the series opener. The returns of superstar fullback Billy Slater and peerless playmaker Johnathan Thurston has the Blues coach on edge.

 

That means the Maroons have their match-winning spine of Slater (pictured below), Thurston, Cooper Cronk and Cameron Smith reunited for the first time since Origin II in 2015. We can appreciate Daley wanting to keep the lid on expectations but for the first time since 1996, when Phil Gould picked the same 17 for three successive games in a clean sweep, the Blues have made no changes. NSW completely dominated in the ruck in the series opener. In a game where possession was split 50-50, NSW won the yardage game by 1815 metres to 1663 and crucially, won the post-contact metres 611 to 522.

In contrast to the Maroons, the Queensland side will have a very different look tonight. Veteran forwards Nate Myles, Sam Thaiday, Jacob Lillyman and Aidan Guerra paid the price for the NSW forwards’ dominance while centre Justin O’Neill was dropped after opposite number Jarryd Hayne tormented him in Game 1. Five-eighth Anthony Milford is out injured but would have made way for Thurston regardless while winger Corey Oates has also been cast aside for the debut of in-form Kangaroos winger Valentine Holmes. In the pack, coach Kevin Walters has brought in three debutants along with Cowboys veteran Gavin Cooper.

 

There is no question Maroons skipper Smith backed his Melbourne teammate Tim Glasby at the selection table in the knowledge he can bring something that will help counter the way the Blues dominated the middle in Game 1. The addition of the powerful Coen Hess and Titans workhorse Jarrod Wallace will also help ensure the improved spine has a better platform to work off. Thurston was superb against Parramatta in Round 14 in his first club game in two months to prove that he will hit the ground running. Slater has been in vintage form all year. The return of those two to join Cronk and Smith will instantly lift those around them.

 

Game 1 results

Queensland v New South Wales -33.5/total (two units @ $1.90) WIN (28-4)
Queensland WIN v New South Wales (one unit @ $1.97) LOSE (28-4)

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); best AU price available is quoted, correct at time of publication. Results/comments on this week’s games will follow in the next post.

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