NHL Stanley Cup Final betting (June 9): Predators to upset road balance

Updated: June 8, 2017

The home team is 4-0 in the 2017 Stanley Cup Final, making it a best-of-three battle to the line for the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Nashville Predators. The Pens were horrible in Games 3 and 4 while Nashville were surprisingly competitive in Games 1 and 2. They look the more likely to upset the order and pinch a vital road win in tonight’s Game 5 in the Steel City; playoff record: 17-8-21, +3.08 units; overall record: 253-29-205, +60.24 units


Stanley Cup Final, game 5: Nashville Predators @ Pittsburgh Penguins (series tied 2-2)
Where: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
When: Friday, June 9, 10am (AET)
Prices: Nashville $2.35, Pittsburgh $1.67, O/U 5.5

Confirmed bets: Nashville WIN (one unit @ $2.35), Penguins to win series 4-2 (one unit @ $5.36)

TIW says: Any chances of a road win in this fascinating Stanley Cup Final? The Nashville Predators are the latest to get the chance to buck the trend after winning both of their home contests in Games 3 and 4 over recent days. The defending Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh took Games 1 and 2 on home ice, but proved little more than road kill in Tennessee. The Penguins mustered just one goal in each game, losing 5-1 on Sunday and 4-1 on Tuesday. When Nashville left Pittsburgh in a 2-0 hole, there was talk that goalie Pekka Rinne might not be able to bounce back.


He gave up three goals in under four minutes to open the third period of the 4-1 loss in Game 2. But Rinne showed he was more than up to the challenge by stopping 52 of 54 shots in Games 3 and 4. Captain Sidney Crosby ended his Stanley Cup Final drought of 12 games without a goal by tallying in Monday’s loss, but Phil Kessel and Bryan Rust are mired in respective six-game goal droughts while former Predator Patric Hornqvist has failed to tally in his past five. Center Nick Bonino will be a game-time decision for tonight’s contest. Bonino has been sidelined for two games with a left foot injury that he sustained while blocking a shot in Game 2.

In a move that parallelled that of Nashville coach Peter Laviolette prior to Game 3, Penguins coach Mike Sullivan refused to reveal the identity of his starting goalie for Game 5 after Matt Murray yielded eight goals on 58 shots in the past two contests. Murray has posted a 5-3 mark with a 2.08 goals-against average and .925 save percentage in the past nine games after missing the first two rounds of the playoffs because of a lower-body injury, with veteran Marc-Andre Fleury recording a 9-6 mark with a 2.56 GAA and .924 save percentage. Like Murray, Rinne has struggled on the road in this series. The three-time Vezina Trophy finalist has yielded at least four goals in each contest.


He’s lost all five of his career decisions in the Steel City, including eight tallies on 36 shots collectively in Games 1 and 2. Rinne’s defense has been up to the task in the last two contests, but P.K. Subban’s availability for Game 5 could be in question as the blue-liner was not on the ice to start practice yesterday after blocking Evgeni Malkin’s shot late the third period in Game 4. Nashville’s Frederick Gaudreau continued his brilliant series by scoring the decisive goal for the second straight contest, joining fellow rookie Jake Guentzel of Pittsburgh by accounting for all four-game winning goals in the Stanley Cup Final.


Most recent result: 1-0-0, +1.48 units

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Nashville Predators WIN (two units @ $1.74) WIN (1-4)



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Pinnacle (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Bets void if listed goaltenders are changed. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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