ICC Champions Trophy betting (June 6): Value with Black Caps in Cardiff

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Updated: June 6, 2017

England’s resurgence as a one-day team began against the Black Caps of New Zealand two summers ago so it’s fitting that the two sides battle in today’s ICC Champions Trophy match-up, which will be played in overcast conditions in Cardiff.

 

ICC Champions Trophy (Group A): England v New Zealand
Where: SSE SWALEC Stadium, Cardiff, Wales
When: Tuesday, June 6, 7.30pm (AET)
Prices: England $1.50, New Zealand $2.60

Confirmed betting: New Zealand WIN (if England bat first)

TIW says: Only one of the three games played so far in Group A of the ICC Champions Trophy have reached a conclusion meaning its high stakes in Cardiff today as England take on the Black Caps of New Zealand. The hosts are the only team to have claimed a victory in this group (at the expense of Bangladesh) as the other two games played to date – Australia v New Zealand and Australia v Bangladesh – have been rained out. The spectre of Saturday night’s terror attacks in London looms large over this match with several members of the England squad near the area where seven people lost their lives. Security around the England team has been bolstered as a result.

The ICC has assured that the Champions Trophy was a “safe and secure tournament”. The other big news out of the England camp is the call-up of seamer Steven Finn to replace the injured Chris Woakes for the remainder of the tournament. Woakes suffered a side strain two overs into the opening match against Bangladesh at The Oval and has been ruled out for an unspecified length of time.  Finn, 28, was in contention to fill the berth with Middlesex teammate Toby Roland-Jones and Nottinghamshire’s Stuart Broad, but his experience and wicket-taking ability saw him trump the all-round pair. The right-arm quick has taken 102 wickets in 69 one-day internationals at a strike-rate of 34.8.

 

Captain Eoin Morgan must choose between Finn, David Willey or Adil Rashid to fill the void left by Woakes against New Zealand. The dilemma facing England is striking the right balance in their line-up, a problem amplified by Ben Stokes’ knee injury which forced him to bowl just seven of his 10 allocated overs in the eight-wicket win over Bangladesh. Kane Williamson (pictured) and the New Zealand side will come into this match high on confidence, but with one point fewer than deserved after they had Australia in all sorts of trouble in their first match until the rain arrived. The Black Caps are expected to name an unchanged XI with faith shown in Neil Broom at no. 5 and Jeetan Patel likely to be kept out of the side.

In 50-over world tournaments (World Cup and Champions Trophy), New Zealand have won six of their past seven matches over England. However, their only defeat in that period came in the 2013 Champions Trophy, which was also played in Cardiff.  If there is another no result in Cardiff, it will mean New Zealand face a must-win against Bangladesh in its final league match. The scene in the Welsh capital yesterday wasn’t pretty. Neither team could hold an outdoors training session due to heavy rain although the forecast is for improved conditions today. In recent ODIs here, at least one team has generally put up a 300-plus score but the state of the pitch remains a mystery.

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games will follow in the next post.

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