NHL Stanley Cup Final betting (June 6): Preds riding Smashville support

Updated: June 5, 2017

This high intensity Stanley Cup Final continues tonight in Smashville where the Predators will aim to tie the series at 2-2 against the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game 4 at Bridgestone Arena. The Predators are 8-1 at home during the 2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs while Pittsburgh has won 10 successive series after they’ve taken a 2-0 lead; playoff record: 16-8-21, +1.6 units; overall record: 252-29-205, +58.76 units


Stanley Cup Final, game 4: Pittsburgh Penguins @ Nashville Predators (Pittsburgh lead 2-1)
Where: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
When: Tuesday, June 6, 10am (AET)
Prices: Pittsburgh $2.22, Nashville $1.74, O/U 5.5

Confirmed bets: Nashville WIN (two units @ $1.74), Penguins to win series 4-2 (one unit @ $5.36)

TIW says: Nashville fed off its so-called Smashville crowd at the Bridgestone Arena for a 5-1 win that cut its Stanley Cup Finals deficit to 2-1 on Saturday (AET). Five different Predators scored goals and Pekka Rinne made 27 saves in his first win over Pittsburgh. Worse for the Penguins perspective, they their star centers – Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin – failed to register a single shot on goal. Former Hart Trophy winners Malkin (NHL-best 26 points) and Crosby (23 points) weren’t as were held without a shot for the first time in their 143 playoff games together.


If Pittsburgh are to become the first road team to win in the Cup Finals in Game 4 to night, they can’t afford similar stats from their stars. Crosby has failed to score a goal in 12 consecutive Stanley Cup Final appearances and has just one tally in his last 19 Final games. The 29-year-old, at least, contributed 15 of 26 face-off wins in Game 3, while Malkin lost seven of nine in the circle. But Jake Guentzel continues to perform well above expectations with a league-best 13 goals in the playoffs and four in the series, with the first statistic putting him within one of tying a single-year NHL rookie record.

Music City has provided a party backdrop throughout the NHL’s postseason, with the Nashville Predators giving their enthusiastic fans (including part-time Smashville residents Nicole Kidman and Keith Urban, pictured below with thanks to etonline.com) even more reason to celebrate with an impressive 8-1 home record. After Guentzel put the Penguins ahead in Game 3, Roman Josi scored his sixth goal off a slap shot at 5:51, tying it at 1-1 and finally giving nervous fans something to enjoy. Then Frederick Gaudreau, who scored his first career NHL goal in Game 1, scored 42 seconds later to put Nashville ahead. James Neal made it 3-1 with 22.6 seconds left in the second.


Craig Smith’s goal on a breakaway at 4:54 was his first of the playoffs, then Mattias Ekholm padded the lead with a power-play goal with 6:50 left. Smith is the 18th different Nashville player to score a goal this postseason, and Ekholm the 19th. Josi’s six goals lead all blue-liners while his 14 points are second-best at the position, just above fellow Nashville defensemen Ryan Ellis (12), P.K. Subban (11) and Ekholm (10). Despite the deficit, the Preds have arguably outplayed Pittsburgh for all but a period and a half, and we’re confident they can again ride an unprecedented wave of home support to victory tonight.


Most recent result: 1-0-0, +1.42 units

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Nashville Predators WIN (two units @ $1.71) WIN (1-5)



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Pinnacle (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Bets void if listed goaltenders are changed. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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