UEFA Champions League final betting: Euro giants Juve, Real hard to split

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Updated: June 3, 2017

The final chapter of the European club season will be written tonight in the Welsh capital Cardiff where two of the great clubs in continental football, Juventus and Real Madrid, will contest the 2017 UEFA Champions League final; overall record: 50-5-39, +22.25 units

 

UEFA Champions League Final: Juventus FC (Italy) v Real Madrid (Spain)
Where: Principality Stadium, Cardiff, Wales
When: Saturday, June 3, 4.45am (AET)
Prices: Juventus $2.85, Real Madrid $2.70, DRAW $3.00

Confirmed bets: Draw/both teams to score (one unit @ $4.00), Juventus WIN inc. extra-time & penalties (two units @ $1.95)

TIW says: Defending champions Madrid – bidding to become the first team to retain the trophy in the Champions League era – are in a third final in four years, having beaten city rivals Atlético Madrid in 2014 and 2016. Madrid have won a record 11 European Cups, and have triumphed in their last five finals. Overall their final record is W11 L3. Before their 2-1 loss to Atlético in the semi-final second leg (4-2 aggregate), Madrid were unbeaten in this season’s competition (W8 D3) and won all five fixtures in the knockout stage. The loss to Atlético halted a 16-match unbeaten run in European competition (W11 D5). Madrid have won their last four games against Italian opposition, going back to that 2015 semi-final against Juve.

In this season’s round of 16, they overcame SSC Napoli 3-1 both home and away. Cristiano Ronaldo has registered 10 Champions League goals this season, just one fewer than leading scorer Lionel Messi. The Portuguese superstar is looking to finish top of the pile for the fifth campaign in a row. The big news for Real Madrid is the potential return of Gareth Bale, who has been sidelined since picking up another calf injury against Barcelona on April 23. It is likely to be a toss-up between Bale and Isco for a starting spot. Dani Carvajal is also expected to be available for selection so Zinedine Zidane should have a full squad available.

 

This is a ninth European Cup final appearance for Juventus, who have lost their last four. Overall their record is W2 L6. This will be the 19th UEFA competition meeting between Juventus and Real Madrid (all in the European Cup) and there is virtually nothing between the sides. Both clubs have eight wins and two draws, with Juve scoring 21 goals to Madrid’s 18. Their most recent encounters came in the 2014-15 semi-finals. Juve are unbeaten in the past three meetings (W1 D2). Their 2-1 victory against AS Monaco in their semi-final second leg (4-1 aggregate) was the first goal Juve had shipped in six knockout matches in this season’s competition. It ended their run of not conceding at 690 minutes, the second longest in UEFA Champions League history behind Arsenal’s 995 minutes in 2005-06.

Mario Mandzukic is likely to be fit alongside Sami Khedira, who will battle with Miralem Pjanic and Claudio Marchisio for the two starting spots in midfield. Winger Marko Pjaca and centre-back Daniele Rugani are expected to remain sidelined with injuries but Juve boss Massimiliano Allegri has an otherwise fully fit squad from which to choose. As underlined by the incredibly close market (it’s not often you see the draw priced at $3.00). But it’s worth noting that Madrid always score – they last failed to do so in April 2016, a staggering 65 competitive matches back. But they’ve only kept one clean sheet in the Champions League this season.

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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