MLB betting (May 19): Pitching stocks worryingly depleted for Mariners

Updated: May 18, 2017

In a match-up that features a pair of rookie starters, a depleted Seattle bullpen and no shortage of offensive weaponry, the recipe is written for plenty of runs at Safeco Field tonight as the Mariners host the Chicago White Sox; overall record: 48-4-44, +7.44 units


MLB best of the day: Chicago White Sox (17-21, 9-13 away) @ Seattle Mariners (19-22, 12-6 home)
Where: Safeco Field, Seattle, WA
When: Friday, May 19, 12.10pm
Starters: Dylan Covey (CHW, 0-3, 7.98 ERA), Sam Caviglio (SEA, 0-0, 4.50 ERA)
Prices: Chicago $2.40, Seattle $1.63, O/U 8.5

Confirmed bet: +8.5/total (two units @ $1.83)

TIW says: Seattle open a four-game series against the Chicago White Sox at Safeco Field as warm favourites. The White Sox are 0-3 on their 10-game trip, having been swept by the Los Angeles Angels. But the Mariners face a tough spot here after dropping right-hander Edwin Diaz from the ninth-inning role after he allowed a walk-off homer to Toronto’s Kevin Pillar on Sunday before holding a three-run lead against Oakland and walking four successive batters. The next day, Mariners pitching coach Mel Stottlemyre jr showed Diaz (1-2, 5.28 ERA) some video of Hall of Famer Pedro Martinez, who had a similar build and style to Diaz.

The Mariners’ other closers have also struggled in recent days.  Manager Scott Servais brought Steve Cishek into the Tuesday game against the A’s with a one-run lead in the ninth, but the veteran right-hander gave up a two-run homer to Matt Joyce. Left-hander Marc Rzepczynski, who hadn’t allowed an earned run all season, came on and compounded the problem, allowing a three-run shot to Mark Canha. With four starters on the disabled list, the Mariners’ bullpen has been overtaxed.


They’ll likely be called upon again tonight as right-hander Sam Gaviglio (0-0, 4.50, pictured above) is scheduled to make his first major league start. Gaviglio, who pitched for Team Italy in the World Baseball Classic, made his big league debut on May 11 at Toronto, allowing one run on two hits while striking out four in two innings. He hasn’t pitched since, and becomes the 10th different starter Seattle has used already this season. The White Sox will counter with rookie right-hander Dylan Covey, who will face the Mariners for the first time.

Covey (0-3, 7.98) generally pitched well in a 5-4 victory against the San Diego Padres on Saturday. He lasted just 4 1/3 innings, so he didn’t qualify for the win, but he struck out a career-high nine. He gave up three runs on five hits. In his first six starts, Covey has reached the fifth inning only three times. The White Sox lost 12-8 to the Angels on Wednesday. Chicago’s Jose Abreu, who has hit all seven of his home runs this season on the road, belted a two-run shot in the latest setback.


Other confirmed bets

Boston Red Sox @ Oakland Athletics +8 (one unit @ $1.91)
Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins (1) -8 (one unit @ $1.95)
Philadelphia Phillies @ Texas Rangers -1.5 (one unit @ $2.35)
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates +9 +10 (one unit @ $2.05)
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs -1.5 (one unit @ $2.00)


Today’s other games

Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins (2)
Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers


Most recent results: 5-0-2, +2.78 units

Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays +8.5 (one unit @ $1.93) LOSE (0-4)
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins +9 (one unit @ $1.97) WIN (8-4)
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Indians -8.5 (one unit @ $1.93) WIN (1-0)
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers WIN (one unit @ $2.09) WIN (4-7)
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels -8.5 (one unit @ $1.88) WIN (0-7)
Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers -9.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (2-5)
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies +1.5 (one unit @ $2.04) LOSE (6-2)



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Unibet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Bets void if listed pitchers do not start. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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