AFL betting (round 5 for April 25): Bombers, Magpies bring indifferent form to ANZAC Day blockbuster
The 2017 ANZAC Day clash might not have the expectations of recent...
The well-travelled Brisbane Roar host the Western Sydney Wanderers in the opening game of the 2016-17 Hyundai A-League finals at Suncorp Stadium 12 months on from their incredible post-season contest that ended 5-4; overall record: 34-3-22, +26.05 units
A-League Elimination Final: Brisbane Roar v Western Sydney Wanderers
Where: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Qld
When: Friday, April 21, 7.50pm (AEDT)
Prices: Brisbane $2.15, Wanderers $3.40, DRAW $3.40
Confirmed bets: Brisbane WIN (1.5 units @ $2.15), Jamie Maclaren score anytime (one unit @ $2.35)
TIW says: Fans will be hoping for a repeat of last year’s post-season match-up when John Aloisi’s Brisbane Roar take on Tony Popovic’s Western Sydney Wanderers in an A-league elimination final at Suncorp Stadium tonight. These two met in an extraordinary finals’ match a year ago, with the Wanderers eventually prevailing 5-4 in extra-time. Brisbane led 3-0, before Romeo Castelen hit a hat-trick to give Western Sydney a 4-3 lead. Jamie Maclaren took the game to extra time, but Dario Vidosic supplied the Wanderers’ winner.
Indeed, three of Brisbane’s last six finals games have been against the Wanderers; they’ve won one and lost two. Brisbane clinched a home elimination final thanks to a come-from-behind 5-3 win against Wellington in the final round. Two superb goals for Brett Holman would have done wonders for the confidence, with Maclaren also on the scoresheet despite missing a penalty. Maclaren scored his 19th goal of the season last weekend to grab a share of the Golden Boot.
He’s scored more goals against WSW than any other Hyundai A-League side – nine including eight in his past seven games against them. Roar legend Thomas Broich (pictured above) confirmed he will leave the club at the end of this season, meaning this could be his Suncorp swansong. The Wanderers haven’t tasted victory against the Roar this season (1 loss, 2 draws). Popovic has proved somewhat of a master of finals football, with the Wanderers aiming to qualify for their fourth grand final in five years.
The Roar are yet to lose a finals match at Suncorp in nine previous matches however. Western Sydney enter the finals as the lowest-scoring of the top six sides, netting just 35 goals in their 27 games. But Brendon Santalab can lay claim to being as effective as Maclaren, if not more so. The evergreen Wanderers striker has scored a goal every 76.3 minutes this season. He’s also fresh, having played in just one of Western Sydney’s last three A-League games.
A-League Elimination Final: Melbourne City v Perth Glory
Where: AAMI Park, Melbourne, Vic
When: Sunday, April 23, 7pm (AEDT)
Prices: Melbourne City $1.95, Perth $3.60, DRAW $3.80
Round 26 results: 1-0-1, +0.35 units
Perth Glory WIN v Brisbane Roar (one unit @ $2.35) WIN (3-1)
Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets +3.5/total (one unit @ $2.25) LOSE (2-0)
Note: The Hyundai A-League sits on the cusp of our integrity protocols that monitor the potential for match-fixing. This data is monitored weekly so we’ll constantly update punters throughout the season should circumstances change. Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.