AFL betting (round 5 for April 25): Bombers, Magpies bring indifferent form to ANZAC Day blockbuster
The 2017 ANZAC Day clash might not have the expectations of recent...
A pair of teams expecting to make a deep run into the postseason are back in action tonight with the Cavaliers hosting the Pacers after a narrow escape in Game 1, while the Spurs are out to go 2-0 up against the Grizzlies; playoff record: 1-0-1, +4.85 units; overall record: 243-7-204, +49.09 units
Eastern Conference first round, game 2: Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers lead 1-0)
Where: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH
When: Tuesday, April 18, 9am (AET)
Line: Cleveland -8.5, O/U 209.5
Confirmed bet: +209.5/total (one unit @ $1.95)
TIW says: When winning the first game of any series, Cleveland have advanced 15 times out of 16. In playoff series featuring LeBron James, his team have never lost a first-round series, they’re 45-7 lifetime in opening-round games and have won the past 18. The Cavs were inches from being in a decidedly different position. The Pacers lost when C.J. Miles missed an open 14-footer at the buzzer. They also went scoreless for nearly three minutes toward the end of the fourth quarter after Jeff Teague’s three-pointer put Indiana ahead 105-103 with 3:31 left.
Cleveland stumbled out of top spot in the East with a 12-15 record after the All-Star break, including four successive losses to end the campaign. They also went 14-of-27 from the free-throw line in Game 1 and surrendered 12 offensive rebounds. Paul George finished with 29 points and went 6-of-8 from three-point range in the loss, marking the sixth time in eight playoff games over the past two seasons that he has scored at least 25 points. The posted total of 210 looks optimistic given the ‘over’ is 5-0 in the Cavaliers’ past 5 games following an ATS loss and 8-0 in the Pacers’ past eight road games.
Western Conference first round, game 2: Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs (Spurs lead 1-0)
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
When: Tuesday, April 18, 11.30am (AET)
Line: San Antonio -10.5, O/U 189
Confirmed bet: San Antonio -10.5 (one unit @ $1.98)
TIW says: For the second postseason in a row, the Spurs and Grizzlies have been scheduled in the opening round. Last season, an injury-riddled Memphis were swept by San Antonio. The Grizzlies are healthier this time around (except for guard Tony Allen), but Memphis managed only 52 points in the final three quarters of Saturday’s 111-82 setback at San Antonio. The Spurs easily cashed to pick up their first ATS win against Memphis in five attempts this season. They had only three players in double-figures, led by Kawhi Leonard’s 32 points on 11-of-14 shooting from the floor.
The Grizzlies shot just 39 per cent from the floor, which included Marc Gasol’s 11-of-18 effort for 32 points. Zach Randolph and Mike Conley Jr. shot 8-of-27 from the field for 19 points, while Memphis lost their eighth successive playoff game dating to the 2015 Western Conference semifinals. In fact, Memphis has been limited to 100 points or less in 13 postseason contests in a row. The Grizzlies are 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-4 ATS in their past five road games while the Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their past six Conference Quarterfinals games.
Yesterday’s results: 1-0-1, +4.85 units
Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards -209/total (one unit @ $1.93) LOSE (107-114)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets -7.5 (three units @ $1.95) WIN (87-118)
• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Pinnacle (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.