Champions League betting: Football world shocked after Dortmund bombings

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Updated: April 12, 2017

For those who may not be aware, this morning’s match-up between Borussia Dortmund and AS Monaco was delayed for 24 hours (now to be played at 2.45am AET) after three explosions rocked the Dortmund team bus en route to the stadium. Defender Marc Bartra (pictured below) suffered an arm injury, which required emergency surgery.

He was struck by shrapnel and suffered a broken bone in his wrist. While the motive remains unclear, the incident inevitably revived memories of the November 2015 terror attacks in Paris that targeted venues including the Stade de France where France were playing Germany in a friendly.

Our thoughts are with the club and people of Dortmund at this testing time. Meanwhile, quarter-final action continues tonight with Atlético Madrid hosting Leicester City while Real Madrid are on the road against Bayern Munich; overall record: 45-5-34, +22.15 units

 

Game: Bayern Munich (Germany) v Real Madrid (Spain)
Where: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
When: Wednesday, April 12, 4.45am (AEDT)
Prices: Bayern $1.70, Real $4.50, DRAW $4.00

Confirmed bets: Real/double chance (one unit @ $2.05)

TIW says: The latest chapter in one of the most storied rivalries in European football will be written tonight when Bayern Munich host Real Madrid for this Champions League quarter-final first leg match-up. This is their 11th such knockout tie in the European Cup and 23rd meeting overall, making it the most played fixture in UEFA club competition. Both teams performed impressively to reach the quarter-finals – Bayern dismantling Arsenal FC over two legs while Madrid – bidding to become the first side to retain the trophy in the UEFA Champions League era – proved too strong for SSC Napoli. This is Bayern’s 28th European Cup quarter-final, and their sixth in succession – they have reached the semi-finals in each of the past five campaigns. Overall, their last-eight record is W18 L9, with victories in their past six ties. Their 5-1 win at home to Arsenal in their round of 16 first leg was Bayern’s record 16th successive home victory in the competition, and their fourth this season.

Bayern could be without striker Robert Lewandowski with a shoulder injury. He has scored 38 goals in 40 appearances this season. Manager Carlo Ancelotti expects goalkeeper Manuel Neuer to return after a foot injury, but defender Mats Hummels is out after damaging ankle ligaments. Bayern were 20 games unbeaten, winning 18 of them, before losing 1-0 at TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on April 4. La Liga leaders Real won their 11th European title last May, at the end of Zinedine Zidane’s first full campaign in charge. The Spanish side are without injured defenders Pepe and Raphael Varane, but their front three (Cristiano Ronaldo, Karim Benzema and Gareth Bale) are all fit. Real haven’t lost a game since they went down 2-1 at Valencia back in February, and they have won seven out of nine games since then. They represent superb value in this game.

 

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Game: Atlético Madrid (Spain) v Leicester City (England)
Where: Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid, Spain
When: Thursday, April 13, 4.45am (AEDT)
Prices: Atlético $1.30, Leicester $11.00, DRAW $5.00

Confirmed bet: Leicester +2/hcp (two units @ $1.75)

TIW says: With their EPL survival looking more and more certain with each game, Leicester City can now turn their focus to another fairytale story for the club – their quarter-final run in the UEFA Champions League. Leicester won their first five league games under Craig Shakespeare since he replaced Claudio Ranieri before losing at Everton on Sunday. The Foxes have several injury concerns, with Nampalys Mendy, Wes Morgan, Wilfred Ndidi and Molla Wague all expected to miss. Robert Huth, Islam Slimani and Jamie Vardy are a caution away from missing next week’s second leg. But there’ll be revenge in the heart of the Leicester players after a highly controversial UEFA Cup first round tie between these clubs 20 years ago. The first game in Spain finished 2-1 in Atlético’s favour before a 2-0 win at the Foxes’ old Filbert Street ground in a match remembered for some lop-sided officiating. Victory against Sevilla FC in the round of 16 was only Leicester’s second in a two-legged European tie.

The English champions were beaten 2-1 in the first game, in what was Ranieri’s last match in charge, but under Shakespeare fought back to win the return 2-0. Atlético are into the quarter-finals for a ninth time, and the fourth season in a row. Their last-eight record is W5 L3 – they have won two of their past three quarter-finals. The Rojiblancos were European Cup runners-up for the third time last season when going down 5-3 on penalties to neighbours Real Madrid CF in Milan on May 28. Atlético have won 28 of their past 34 European fixtures at the Vicente Calderón, losing only twice. They are nine games unbeaten at home in Europe (W7 D2); this season, they won their first three before a 0-0 draw with Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the round of 16 (4-2 aggregate).

 

Yesterday’s result: 1-0-0, +1.7 units

Juventus FC WIN v FC Barcelona (one unit @ $2.70) WIN (3-0)

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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