FA Cup round 5 betting: Millwall trip an unwanted distraction for Foxes

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Updated: February 18, 2017

The UK football spotlight returns to the FA Cup tonight with five fifth round match-ups scheduled. The battle for one of the world’s most famous football trophies is down to 16 clubs – eight from the Premier League, four from the Championship, two from League One and two from the National League.

 

Game: Huddersfield Town (3rd in EFL Championship) v Manchester City (2nd in the EPL)
Where: John Smith’s Stadium, Huddersfield, England
When: Sunday, February 19, 2am (AEDT)
Prices: Huddersfield, Manchester City, DRAW

Confirmed bet: Manchester City -1/hcp (two units @ $1.90)

TIW says: It pays to listen to the key players ahead of match-up like this battle between EPL aspirants Huddersfield and the proven product, Manchester City. While Terriers manager Dave Wagner will be desperate to deliver victory for the high-flying Championship club, chairman Dean Hoyle made it crystal clear earlier in the week that the clubs’ focus was firmly on promotion, not the FA Cup, with a massive home game against fourth-placed Reading on Tuesday night.

We’re not expecting much more than token opposition from the hosts today. Huddersfield will be without Aussie Aaron Mooy, who is ineligible to play against his parent club while fellow midfielders Jonathan Hogg and Kasey Palmer are out with hamstring injuries. City have midweek commitments of their own with Champions League last-16 tie with Monaco next week, so it is likely that Pep Guardiola will make changes but they should have enough firepower to get the job done here.

 

Game: Millwall (6th in League One) v Leicester City (17th in the EPL)
Where: The Den, Bermondsey, England
When: Sunday, February 19, 2am (AEDT)
Prices: Millwall $2.85, Leicester City $2.50, DRAW $3.20

Confirmed bet: Millwall WIN (one unit @ $2.85)

TIW says: Leicester City’s EPL title hangover leaves manager Claudio Ranieri in a conundrum heading into this round-of-16 clash with League One playoff contenders Millwall. They’ve lost five League games in a row, all without scoring a single goal, and they’ve won just once inside 90 minutes (a third-round cup win at Everton) from their last nine outings. The Foxes are also the only club in the top four divisions not to score a single league goal this year.

Add in a midweek Champions League clash against Sevilla and it’s fair to assume that a trip to south-east London for an FA Cup tie won’t be at the top of the Italian’s to-do list this week. The Lions of Neil Harris (pictured above) are unbeaten in 12 games in all competitions and have already dumped Premier League sides Bournemouth and Watford out of this season’s FA Cup. At home, they’ve won seven and drawn one of their past eight to go with five successive clean sheets.

 

Today’s other games

Burnley v Lincoln City
Middlesbrough v Oxford United
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea

 

Round 4 results: 4-0-2, +2.42 units

Liverpool v Wolverhampton Wanderers +2/hcp (two units @ $1.95) WIN (1-2)
Burnley WIN v Bristol City (two units @ $1.66) WIN (2-0)
Blackburn Rovers v Blackpool +2.5/total (two units @ $1.70) LOSE (2-0)
Southampton DNB v Arsenal (one unit @ $2.30) LOSE (0-5)
Crystal Palace v Manchester City -1/hcp (one unit @ $2.15) WIN (0-3)
Middlesbrough WIN (to nil) v Accrington Stanley (one unit @ $2.05) WIN (1-0)

 

 

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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