EPL betting: Former Toffees boss returns to Goodison in sticky spot

Updated: February 25, 2017

17TIWEPLlogoWith the Southampton v Arsenal clash postponed due to the Saints’ involvement in tomorrow’s EFL Cup against Manchester United, there are six games scheduled in the English Premier League today. Our best on the card is at Goodison Park where Everton should comfortably handle a struggling Sunderland side where former Toffees boss David Moyes now holds the reins; overall record: 36-2-24, +28.47 units


Game: Everton (11-8-6, 41 pts) v Sunderland (5-4-16, 19 pts)
Where: Goodison Park, Liverpool
When: Sunday, February 25, 2am (AEDT)
Prices: Everton $1.40, Sunderland $8, DRAW $5

Confirmed bet: Everton -1/hcp (two units @ $1.90)

TIW says: With limited funds in addition to a crippling injury list, David Moyes (pictured below) has managed to keep the Black Cats within touch of the field despite propping up the rest of the Premier League. But he faces a difficult task against the club he managed for more than a decade. The Toffees are in terrific form at home, winning their past three at Goodison while scoring 13 goals.

They’ve lost just once on their own soil all season, and have won six of nine home games against bottom-six sides since the start of last season, with five of their wins by more than one goal. Ronald Koeman’s side have amassed 14 points in 2017 – that’s a joint-league high with Tottenham, who have played a game more since the turn of the year. Sunderland had lost five straight road games before their 4-0 win at Crystal Palace. They’ve lost all seven of their trips to top-half sides this term.


Game: West Bromwich Albion (10-7-8, 37 pts) v Bournemouth (7-5-13, 26 pts)
Where: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
When: Sunday, February 25, 2am (AEDT)
Prices: WBA $2.05, Bournemouth $3.80, DRAW $3.40

Confirmed bet: Both teams to score (one unit @ $1.85)

TIW says: Tony Pulis earned his stripes as a manager at Bournemouth. He signed Eddie Howe. Now the Cherries boss needs to heed valuable lessons from his mentor on how to handle a team struggling in the top flight. Pulis has made a career of keeping Premier League clubs afloat from troubled positions. While the Baggies are just W0-D1-L7 against sides above them this term, they’re W10-D6-L1 against the rest of the division.

That defeat did come against Bournemouth but, at home, they’ve won seven of eight against teams below them. Bournemouth are unbeaten against West Brom in the Premier League (W2, D1). The Cherries’ 1-0 win in the reverse fixture in mid-September was their first victory of the season. But their defence is in disarray and only Swansea have conceded more goals in the entire division. They’ve shipped 18 goals in their past six and even let Hull put three past them so the pressure will be on to score here.


Game: Hull City (5-5-15, 20 pts) v Burnley (9-3-13, 30 pts)
Where: KCOM Stadium, Hull
When: Sunday, February 25, 2am (AEDT)
Prices: Hull City $2.15, Burnley $4, DRAW $3.10

Confirmed bet: DRAW (one unit @ $3.10)

TIW says: At the turn of the year Hull looked doomed but the impact Marco Silva and his new faces has been incredible. Now the Tigers have an opportunity to record three successive home wins in the Premier League for the first time as they host a Burnley team who have taken just one of their 30 points away from Turf Moor. Hull have won both of their home games under Silva, beating Liverpool and Bournemouth, while their only defeat in their last seven at the KCOM Stadium was to Manchester City.

Striker Abel Hernandez remains in doubt – all five of their wins this season have come in the 11 games the striker has started and they have a W0-D4-L10 record without him. Burnley boss Sean Dyche also has injury concerns – Steven Defour, Kevin Long and Dean Marney, while Jeff Hendrick is suspended. Johann Berg Gudmundsson is also in doubt.


Today’s other games

Chelsea v Swansea City
Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough
Watford v West Ham United


Most recent results: 2-0-2, +0.35 units

Sunderland/double chance v Southampton (two units @ $1.72) LOSE (0-4)
West Ham United v West Bromwich Albion DRAW (one unit @ $3.20) WIN (2-2)
Stoke City WIN v Crystal Palace (one unit @ $2.15) WIN (1-0)
Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur DNB (one unit @ $2.25) LOSE (2-0)



• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *