A-League round 16 betting: No mercy as Glory host jetlagged Victory

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Updated: January 20, 2017

TIWaleagueA wounded and weary Melbourne Victory end their A-League week in Perth against improving Glory. After losing in Wellington on Tuesday night, second-placed Victory cannot afford another loss as they chase Sydney FC; overall record: 26-2-16, +19.2 units

 

Game: Perth Glory (4-6-5, 18 pts) v Melbourne Victory (10-2-3, 32 pts)
Where: nib Stadium, Perth, WA
When: Saturday, January 21, 8pm (AEDT)
Prices: Perth $3.00, Melbourne $2.10, DRAW $3.60

Confirmed bets: Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory +3 goals (two units @ $2.00); Perth Glory WIN v Melbourne Victory (one unit @ $3.00)

TIW says: The set-up for this round 16 A-League clash has been well documented. Kevin Muscat is confident Victory can shake off their mid-week loss to Wellington and rediscover their best form in Perth, the second half of a gruelling road trip before next week’s top-of-the-table blockbuster with leaders Sydney FC. In recent seasons, the Victory haven’t managed a win in five visits to nib (including the FFA Cup in 2014), drawing two and losing three. So this looms as a massive test for Kevin Muscat’s side, coming off a humbling 3-0 loss to Phoenix in a cold and windy Wellington on Tuesday night. While the previous meeting between these sides this season finished in a 1-1 draw at AAMI Park, the score didn’t tell the whole story. Victory created a stack of chances but wasted most of them, while Glory scored with their only shot on target, thanks to a clinical Andy Keogh.

 

Now five points adrift of the leading Sky Blues, a win is crucial against a sixth-placed Glory side held to another draw in Newcastle but keen to keep climbing. Glory’s attack has improved since they last played Melbourne, with Diego Castro back from injury and fully fit, while Socceroo Adam Taggart has scored four in his past five start as he rebuilds his career. But defence remains Perth’s main issue, averaging two goals against per game, with only Central Coast Mariners leaking more goals than Lowe’s side. The injury to centre-back Alex Grant won’t help their cause, either. Perth are also without suspended captain Rostyn Griffiths, while Victory’s Jason Geria and Fahid Ben Khalfallah out after copping five yellow cards – Daniel Georgievski and Mitch Austin the pair most likely to replace them. The past four between these sides have finished in a pair of draws and a pair of wins for the Glory. Only one of those games has finished with more than two goals but the recipe is written for goals tonight.

 

R16 results update: 1-0-0, +1.25 units

Sydney FC v Adelaide United -2.5/total (one unit @ $2.25) WIN (2-0)

 

Note: The Hyundai A-League sits on the cusp of our integrity protocols that monitor the potential for match-fixing. This data is monitored weekly so we’ll constantly update punters throughout the season should circumstances change. Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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