EPL betting: Spurs’ Stamford Bridge drought unlikely to end

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Updated: November 26, 2016

EPL featured betting preview: Chelsea (9-1-2, 28 pts) v Tottenham Hotspur (6-6-0, 24 pts), Stamford Bridge, London, England; Sunday, November 27, 4.30am – latest EPL standings here

 

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Spurs may be the only team yet to taste defeat in the EPL after the first 12 weeks of the season but they still sit outside the top four. That will change if they can take maximum points at Stamford Bridge when they face competition leaders Chelsea today. Six of Tottenham’s 12 League fixtures have ended in draws but they still possess the best defensive record with only eight goals conceded this term. Mauricio Pochettino’s side have faced six of the current top half this season and all those matches have finished with fewer than three goals scored while five ended all-square (including four 1-1 results).

However, Spurs’ win over West Ham last week was their only victory in their past nine games in all competitions (D5 L3). Tottenham are without both Danny Rose and Ben Davies, who are suspended and injured respectively, so Jan Vertonghen could fill in at left-back. Erik Lamela is still injured, while Toby Alderweireld is back in training but won’t return here. Since the start of last season, Spurs have picked up 20 points in London derbies in the Premier League – more than any other side. But there’s one stat that haunts Tottenham ahead of this game – they haven’t won at Stamford Bridge since February 1990.

 

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Chelsea are unbeaten in 26 league meetings at home to Spurs (W17, D9), which is their longest top-flight unbeaten home run against a single opponent. They have gone 29 games without defeat in all competitions in this fixture (nine of their past 17 league meetings have ended with the spoils shared). It could be argued that this is an ideal revenge spot for Tottenham after they coughed up a two-goal lead and the Premier League title on a May evening last season. But it’s hard to go past the Blues, who are on a run of six consecutive league wins without conceding a goal.

They have played 590 minutes of top-flight football since conceding their last goal in the 3-0 defeat at Arsenal on September 24. The Blues have earned 15 points from their six home games this season – more than any other top-flight team. They have scored 18 goals and conceded just three in those six league matches at Stamford Bridge. Diego Costa (pictured above) is the first Premier League player to reach double figures for goals this season (10 goals in 12 games). Coach Antonio Conte could name the same starting line-up for the sixth successive League match as John Terry has been ruled out while Willian may return to the squad.

 

 

Confirmed bet (card finalised)

Chelsea WIN v Tottenham Hotspur (three units @ $1.80)
Leicester City v Middlesbrough -2.5/total (two units @ $1.70)
Hull City v West Bromwich Albion WIN (one unit @ $2.70)

 

Today’s other games

Burnley v Manchester City
Liverpool v Sunderland
Swansea City v Crystal Palace

 

Results update: 2-2-3, -0.9 units; overall record: 13-2-16, +1.68 units

Crystal Palace v Manchester City -1hcp (two units @ $2.15) PUSH (1-2)
Everton v Swansea City +3.5/total (one unit @ $2.75) LOSE (1-1)
Southampton DNB v Liverpool (one unit @ $2.05) PUSH (0-0)
Watford WIN v Leicester City (one unit @ $2.85) WIN (2-1)

Manchester City WIN (to nil) v Middlesbrough (two units @ $1.85) LOSE (1-1)
Bournemouth v Sunderland -2.5/total (one unit @ $2.10) LOSE (1-2)
Burnley DNB v Crystal Palace (one unit @ $2.25) WIN (3-2)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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