EPL betting preview: Guardiola’s perfect start as City boss to continue

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Updated: September 24, 2016

EPL featured betting preview: Swansea City (1-1-3, 4 pts) v Manchester City (5-0-0, 15 pts), Liberty Stadium, Swansea, Wales; Sunday, September 25, 2.30am – latest EPL standings here

 

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Pep Guardiola makes the business of managing a football team pretty easy at times. Since arriving at the Etihad Stadium as new Manchester City boss, his side has won nine in a row in all competitions, including the first five of this EPL campaign. Only Carlo Ancelotti has won more at the start of his EPL management career, claiming his first six as manager of Chelsea in 2009. It’s hard to imagine that run will be upset here as City make the trip across the border to face Swansea City. Kevin De Bruyne (pictured below) is on the way to becoming one of the best attacking midfielders in the game while Raheem Sterling looks completely rejuvenated.

Defensively, City still aren’t functioning at 100 per cent. They kept things tight against Bournemouth last weekend but that 4-0 triumph was their first clean sheet in the league this year. But that’s nit-picking in Guardiola’s historic start to his tenure at the club. Forward Sergio Aguero returns after a three-match domestic ban, while David Silva could be fit. Aguero has scored nine goals in five games for Manchester City in all competitions this season. Vincent Kompany is out after suffering a groin injury during his first game back after a five-month lay-off.

 

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City also won their opening five league games last season but they’ve never won their first six games in a top-flight campaign before. Francesco Guidolin would love to be in the position of Guardiola but he’s already creeping into discussions as a potential candidate for the chop with the Swans taking just four points from their first five League games. Winger Nathan Dyer has had surgery to remove extra bone growth on his ankle and is likely to be sidelined until mid-November but record signing Borja Baston could make his full Premier League debut after starting in midweek in the EFL Cup.

Swansea broke their transfer record by signing the Spanish striker from Atletico Madrid for £15m. The 23-year-old scored 18 La Liga goals on loan at Eibar last season. Bizarrely, these sides met just three days ago in the League Cup where what amounted to a Manchester City second XI defeated the Swans 2-1. Manchester City are unbeaten in their past eight league meetings with Swansea, winning six and drawing two. The Swans have won just one of their 10 Premier League clashes with City – that was 1-0 at the Liberty Stadium in March 2012. The Swans are yet to score a first-half goal in the league this campaign.

 

 

Confirmed bet (card finalised)

Swansea City v Manchester City/HT-FT double (two units @ $1.85)
Manchester United v Leicester City +1/hcp (one unit @ $2.15)
Bournemouth v Everton WIN (one unit @ $2.25)
Sunderland v Crystal Palace -2.5/total (one unit @ $1.70)

 

Today’s other games

Liverpool v Hull City
Middlesbrough v Tottenham Hotspur
Stoke City v West Bromwich Albion
Arsenal v Chelsea

 

Most recent results: 1-2, -0.4 units; overall record: 10-10, +4.73 units

Everton -1/hcp v Middlesbrough (one unit @ $2.60) WIN (3-1)
Leicester City v Burnley -2.5/total (one unit @ $2.00) LOSE (3-0)
West Bromwich Albion v West Ham United WIN (one unit @ $2.75) LOSE (4-2)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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