PGA Tour betting preview: Back to Black for Barclays & playoff opener

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Updated: August 25, 2016

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The start of The Barclays also marks the first event of the FedExCup playoffs for 2016. The PGA Tour entered a new era in 2007 with the introduction of this season-long points competition offering USD $35 million in bonus money and culminating with the TOUR’s first-ever playoff system. During the PGA Tour season, players earn points based on their results with a strong emphasis placed on winning and high finishes.

Once the season concludes, the top-125 players advance to the FedExCup Playoffs, a series of four $8.5-million tournaments offering quadruple points relative to normal season events. The playoffs also feature a progressive cut, starting with The Barclays in New York (125 players), continuing with the Deutsche Bank Championship in Boston (100 players) and the BMW Championship in Chicago (70 players).

A reset takes place, seeding the top 30 players for the culminating Tour Championship in Atlanta, where the FedExCup Champion is crowned. Tiger Woods won the inaugural FedExCup in 2007 and its $10-million top prize and won again in 2009. Others to hoist the FedExCup trophy include Vijay Singh (2008), Jim Furyk (2010), Bill Haas (2011), Brandt Snedeker (2012), Henrik Stenson (2013), Billy Horschel (2014) and Jordan Spieth (2015).

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PGA Tour featured betting preview: The Barclays; Bethpage State Park (Black); par 71 (7468 yards); Farmingdale, NY, August 26-29 (AET) – selections by Will Chen

Bethpage State Park is best known for its five world-class golf courses, including the world-renowned Black Course (site of the U.S. Open Championship in 2002 and 2009) which will host the opening event of the FedExCup playoffs for 2016. Bethpage Black opened in 1936. It was designed by noted golf architect A.W. Tillinghast who also responsible for the Blue and Red Courses.

This event was founded as the Westchester Classic in 1967 and has come a long way since Jack Nicklaus beat Dan Sikes by a shot on Aug. 30, 1967 (a Wednesday finale as the Friday through Sunday rounds had been rained out), when the total purse was a then-record $250,000. In 2002 it became the first public course to host the US Open, when Tiger Woods, who was the only player to break par for the week, won by three over Phil Mickelson.

 

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It was again the venue for the US Open in 2009 when Lucas Glover defeated Mickelson, David Duval and Ricky Barnes by two strokes. On both occasions the event was played in wet conditions (particularly in 2009 when the event ran into Monday). It was last used for this specific event in 2012 when Nick Watney took the win with a 10-under-par total.

Punters should note that unseasonably hot weather in the lead-up to this year’s event has resulted in an unusual amount of water being added to the course so we’re expecting the greens to run a little slower than normal for the opening day (at a minimum). In addition to Baltusrol and this track, A.W. Tillinghast was also responsible for Ridgewood, which hosted this tournament in 2008, 2010 and 2014, and for Winged Foot, which last hosted the US Open a decade ago.

 

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With two of three events played at Bethpage Black this century impacted by rain, the 2012 tournament provides a very small amount of data with which to work. It showed that neither distance nor accuracy were crucial off the tee but five of the top eight ranked inside the first seven for Greens In Regulation. Watney ranked second and Louis Oosthuizen, alongside Harmon in fifth, ranked number one.

Nobody made more birdies than the winner and he and runner-up, Snedeker, ranked tied fifth for Par 5 Scoring. It’s a tiny sample but provides at least some sort of lead. Jason Day is the defending Barclays Champion, leads the playoff race and is coming off a runner-up finish at the PGA Championship making him the deserved favourite.

 

 

Confirmed bets (card finalised, E/W = top 5)

Jason Day has not played since the PGA Championship in late July, but was excellent in that tournament on little preparation. Day was with his wife in the hospital in the days leading up but still shot a 13-under to finish in second place. Now the Aussie returns to The Barclays, which he has dominated in recent years. Day shot a 19-under to win this tournament in 2015, defeating Henrik Stenson by six strokes. He also placed second place in 2014. Day also happens to be having another stellar season, as he has won three events and has finished inside the top-five six times.

Jason Day WIN-E/W (one unit @ $8.00)
Henrik Stenson WIN-E/W (one unit @ $9.00)
Patrick Reed WIN-E/W (one unit @ $29.00)
Matt Kuchar WIN-E/W (one unit @ $34.00)
Brandt Snedeker WIN-E/W (one unit @ $36.00)
Ryan Moore top 10 (one unit @ $7.50)
Emiliano Grillo top 10 (one unit @ $8.00)
Jhonattan Vegas top 25 (one unit @ $5.00)
Sung-hoon Kang top 25 (one unit @ $13.00)

 

Most recent results (Wyndham Championship): 2-0-10, -2.5 units; overall record: 48-3-180, +54.8 units

Patrick Reed WIN-E/W (one unit @ $17.00) LOSE (T22)
Jim Furyk WIN-E/W (one unit @ $21.00) LOSE (T10)
Ryan Moore WIN-E/W (one unit @ $21.00) LOSE (T53)
Webb Simpson WIN-E/W (one unit @ $23.00) LOSE (T72)
Brandt Snedeker top 6 (one unit @ $4.50) WIN (T3)
Jimmy Walker top 6 (one unit @ $5.00) LOSE (CUT)
Kevin Kisner top 10 (one unit @ $5.00) WIN (T10)
Freddie Jacobson top 10 (one unit @ $7.50) LOSE (T33)
Whee Kim top 25 (one unit @ $4.00) LOSE (CUT)
Steve Marino top 25 (one unit @ $4.00) LOSE (CUT)
Scott Stallings top 25 (one unit @ $4.00) LOSE (CUT)
Nick Taylor top 25 (one unit @ $6.00) LOSE (CUT)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Sportsbet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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