PGA Tour betting preview: Wyndham to decide final playoff composition

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Updated: August 18, 2016

PGA Tour featured betting preview: Wyndham Championship; Sedgefield Country Club; par 70 (7127 yards); Greensboro, NC, August 19-22 (AET) – selections by Will Chen

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We took the chance to have a breather last week prior to the the start of the FedExCup playoffs next week. The Olympic tournament was always going to be a difficult betting affair with only three genuine prizes on offer. Not surprisingly, the cream rose to the top with Justin Rose (GB) winning the gold medal ahead of Henrik Stenson (Sweden) and Matt Kuchar (USA). They finished four clear of Germany’s Thomas Pieters. Meanwhile, PGA Tour action continued at the John Deere Classic where Ryan Moore shot a super-consistent 65-65-65-67 for a -22 total of 262 to defeat Ben Martin by two shots. Due to the Olympics, it was a field dominated by US players and it’s a similar story this week for the Wyndham Championship, to be played in Greensboro, North Carolina at the Sedgefield Country Club (pictured below).

 

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The Wyndham Championship was founded in 1938 as the Greater Greensboro Open, and Sedgefield was one of the original host courses. In its early years, the tournament was contested at Sedgefield and Starmount Forest Country Clubs – both in Greensboro. From its inaugural tournament in 1938, won by eventual eight-time champion Sam Snead, through the 1942 event, two rounds of official tournament play were actually contested at each course. When the tournament resumed in 1945 following World War II, the event began alternating courses each year – a process that continued through the 1950s, but the next 10 tournaments were played at Starmount. Snead, who for years was said to have buried his money in tomato cans in his back yard, jokingly suggested that Edward Benjamin, who owned Starmount, dig up a few of his tomato cans and fix up the course before the next tournament.

 

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Benjamin was not amused. He banned Snead from Starmount for life and created a serious problem for the host courses, but with the tournament growing rapidly; it turned out to be a blessing. Sedgefield, with vastly more space to handle the crowds, became the sole home of the tournament until 1977 when it moved to Forest Oaks Country Club south-east of Greensboro for the next 31 years. In 2007, Sedgefield Country Club restored its Donald Ross-designed gem to its original design and lengthened the track to accommodate the modern tour golfer. The $3 million restoration process, led by Donald Ross course restoration expert Kris Spence, took 10 months to complete and resulted in a classic course covering some 7117 yards and playing to a par 70. In the seven years since the event returned to Sedgefield, low scores have been the standard.

 

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Two winners, Carl Pettersson and Arjun Atwal, both shot course record rounds of 61 on the way to victory while 2015 champion Davis Love III (pictured above) shot a pair of 64s on the way to a winning score of -19. Changes were made to the greens prior to the 2012 event but it didn’t seem to make much of a difference to the scores. The greens are smaller than average, undulating and fairly fast. Accuracy off the tee is far more important than power with Patrick Reed the only winner to rank any worse than 16th for Driving Accuracy since the tournament returned to this venue. Logically, form at other courses designed by Ross is worth considering while players on the cusp of the 125 on the FedExCup standings could lift their games for this event, the last of the season before the playoffs (the 2016 field features 11 of the top 30 on the current standings). From a statistical perspective, putting and par 4 scoring are the key numbers.

 

 

Confirmed bets (card finalised, E/W = top 5)

Patrick Reed WIN-E/W (one unit @ $17.00)
Jim Furyk WIN-E/W (one unit @ $21.00)
Ryan Moore WIN-E/W (one unit @ $21.00)
Webb Simpson WIN-E/W (one unit @ $23.00)
Brandt Snedeker top 6 (one unit @ $4.50)
Jimmy Walker top 6 (one unit @ $5.00)
Kevin Kisner top 10 (one unit @ $5.00)
Freddie Jacobson top 10 (one unit @ $7.50)
Whee Kim top 25 (one unit @ $4.00)
Steve Marino top 25 (one unit @ $4.00)
Scott Stallings top 25 (one unit @ $4.00)
Nick Taylor top 25 (one unit @ $6.00)

 

Most recent results (Travelers Championship): 0-0-8, -8.0 units; overall record: 46-3-170, +57.3 units

Bubba Watson WIN-E/W (one unit @ $13.00) LOSE (T25)
Zach Johnson WIN-E/W (one unit @ $23.00) LOSE (T47)
Jon Rahm WIN-E/W (one unit @ $26.00) LOSE (T25)
Kevin Chappell top 6 (one unit @ $8.00) LOSE (CUT)
Aaron Baddeley top 10 (one unit @ $7.00) LOSE (T34)
Retief Goosen top 25 (one unit @ $3.25) LOSE (T47)
Michael Thompson top 25 (one unit @ $3.25) LOSE (CUT)
Bryce Molder top 25 (one unit @ $4.50) LOSE (T56)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Sportsbet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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