EPL betting: Magpies again teetering on the brink of relegation

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Updated: April 16, 2016

EPL featured betting preview: Newcastle United (6-7-19, 25 pts) v Swansea City (10-10-13, 40 pts), St James’ Park, Newcastle, England; Sunday, April 17, 12am – for the latest EPL standings, click here

 

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If the Premier League season were to end today, the three clubs to face relegation would be top flight stalwarts Sunderland, Newcastle United and Aston Villa. With five games to play, the Villans have no chance of staying up while the Black Cats (four points adrift) and Magpies (six) aren’t in great shape either. That makes Newcastle’s home clash against the 13th-placed Swansea all the more important.

Indeed, four of the Magpies’ last six come at home, and one of their road matches is at Villa. Their away form has been disastrous, but they’ve taken seven points from their last four at home. Newcastle weren’t even close last time out, falling 3-1 at Southampton last Saturday with a deficit by the fourth minute and a three-goal hole by the 55th.

They’ve conceded 17 times and earned one point over a seven-match winless span. The defensive worries for manager Rafa Benitez have mounted with Daryl Janmaat – a rare shining light at right back – and experienced centre-half Steven Taylor both out after picking up injuries at St Mary’s. The reverse fixture was a 2-0 win for Swansea on August 15 thanks to goals from Bafetimbi Gomis and Andre Ayew.

 

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It was Swansea’s sixth win on a seven-match unbeaten span against the Magpies, and they’ve never lost a Premier League match on Tyneside – posting three wins on the trot following a 2011-12 draw. The Swans (10-10-13) haven’t officially secured safety just yet, though last Saturday’s 1-0 win over title-holders Chelsea was their first Premier League win over the Blues.

That lifted them in 13th place on 40 points for their highest spot in the table since being in 12th after 10 matches. Form-wise only leaders Leicester have picked up more than the 13 points over their past six Premier League games that the Welsh club have earned (a run of four wins). Gylfi Sigurdsson’s 25th-minute goal was all Swansea needed as they limited Chelsea to two shots on target.

The Iceland international (pictured above) has scored in four of his past five matches and his nine since the calendar flipped to 2016 trail only the 11 of Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero as he aims to enter the European Championship finals in peak form. Another win coupled with a Sunderland loss at Norwich City will clinch a sixth straight season in the top flight for the Swans.

 

 

Confirmed bet (card finalised)

Newcastle United v Swansea City WIN (one unit @ $3.20)
Manchester United -2hcp v Aston Villa (one unit @ $3.00)
West Bromwich Albion v Watford -1.5 (one unit @ $2.75)

 

Today’s other games

Norwich City v Sunderland
Everton v Southampton
Chelsea v Manchester City

 

Most recent results: 8-0-1, +10.33; overall results: 59-5-56, +22.62 units

Manchester City WIN v Manchester United (one unit @ $1.85) LOSE (0-1)
Tottenham Hotspur -1hcp v Bournemouth (one unit @ $2.30) WIN (3-0)
Aston Villa v Chelsea +2.5 (one unit @ $2.00) WIN (0-4)
Bournemouth v Manchester City WIN (one unit @ $2.10) WIN (0-4)
Arsenal (HT/FT) v Watford (one unit @ $2.00) WIN (4-0)
Sunderland v Stoke City DRAW (one unit @ $3.40) WIN (0-0)
Watford v Everton DRAW (one unit @ $3.45) WIN (0-0)
Aston Villa v Bournemouth WIN (one unit @ $2.28) WIN (1-2)
Manchester City v Stoke City +2.5 total (one unit @ $1.80) WIN (2-1)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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