NCAA Final Four betting preview: Money for Tar Heels in decider

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Updated: April 4, 2016

NCAA Championship Game featured betting preview: 2 Villanova Wildcats (34-5) v 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (33-6), NRG Stadium, Houston, TX, Tuesday, April 5, 11.20am – note: No NBA games are scheduled today

 

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North Carolina is shooting for a sixth NCAA championship when the Tar Heels meet the Villanova Wildcats, aiming for their second, in Houston tonight. The Tar Heels (33-6) last won it all in 2009 and Villanova’s only title came in 1985. Both teams advanced to the championship game with lopsided wins, but Villanova’s was far more of a blowout than that of North Carolina. The top-seeded Tar Heels beat 10-seed Syracuse 83-66 on Saturday night in a national semifinal for their 10th straight win. That was after the Wildcats made easy work of Buddy Hield and Oklahoma, with a 95-51 trampling that was the biggest margin of victory in a national semifinal game. Villanova (34-5) did it with 71.4 per cent shooting led by Josh Hart (pictured below), who scored 23 points on 10 of 12 shooting.

 

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That percentage was the second best in the history of the Final Four. The only team to shoot a higher percentage was that eighth-seeded team in 1985 eighth-seeded team coached by Rollie Massimino which shot 78.6 per cent to pull an upset over Georgetown in the final. Hart averages a team-high 15.5 points while teaming with two other stellar outside shooters in junior forward Kris Jenkins (13.6 average, team-high 98 3-pointers) and senior guard Ryan Arcidiacono (12.4 average, 74 3-pointers). It won’t be easy against the only No. 1 seed to advance to the Final Four this season. Coach Roy Williams (pictured below) has already led two North Carolina teams to championships and this squad has won each of its five tournament games this year by an average of 16.2 points.

 

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The two schools have some tournament history with the Tar Heels beating Villanova in the tournament on the way to their titles in 1982, 2005 and 2009. They downed the Wildcats in the national semifinals in 2009 before beating Michigan State for the championship. North Carolina also had a balanced scoring attack in its semifinal win with Brice Johnson and Justin Jackson adding 16 points each to go with 15 from Kennedy Meeks and Marcus Paige’s 13. The ‘over’ is 10-2 in the Wildcats’ past 12 games following a straight up win and 7-1 in Tar Heels’ past eight non-conference games. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their past 5 NCAA Tournament games while the Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their past four NCAA Tournament games.

 

 

Suggested bet

Villanova Wildcats v North Carolina Tar Heels +149.5 ($1.93)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to PinnacleBet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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