EPL betting: Gunners on the brink of season without silverware

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Updated: March 19, 2016

EPL featured betting preview: Everton (9-11-8, 38 pts) v Arsenal (15-7-7, 52 pts), Goodison Park, Liverpool, England; Saturday, March 19, 11.45pm – for the latest EPL standings, click here

 

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The double-edged sword of European football and League aspirations comes back to cut Arsenal when they head to Merseyside to take on Everton in the opening game of today’s EPL six-match card. A hectic schedule and shocking run of form have meant the Gunners have one win in eight (against Hull in the FA Cup), have been KOed from the Champions League and FA Cup and lie 11 points adrift (with a game in hand) in the title race. With the chances of silverware virtually eradicated for 2015-16, the axe is closer to falling on Gunners boss Arsene Wenger than at any time in his long tenure.

Arsenal will be without midfielder Mathieu Flamini, who suffered a hamstring injury in the 3-1 loss to Barcelona and are still missing Aaron Ramsey, Jack Wilshere, Petr Cech, Santi Cazorla and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain. The Gunners are three games without a League victory (D1, L2) and have conceded seven goals in their past three EPL games. Prior to this run they had only conceded five goals in eight matches. To compound their latest challenge, they’re scheduled in the early game today having travelled back from Spain on Thursday.

 

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Everton’s inconsistency, especially at home, has prevented a top-four challenge of their own in this campaign but, as Arsenal will be aware, they are capable of beating anyone on their day. Everton have only won one of their past 17 league meetings (D6, L10) but they’re unbeaten on the past three occasions they’ve hosted Arsenal in the league (W1, D2). Bryan Oviedo could miss out again for Everton, although he has returned to training following a chest infection. Kevin Mirallas and Gareth Barry are both suspended but Muhamed Besic could make his first start since January after returning from injury.

The Toffees will be buoyed by their FA Cup win over Chelsea and will have little doubt that they can inflict a similar result on a desperate rival. But that will require a significant reversal in form as Everton have won only one of their past eight Premier League games at home (D2, L5) and have lost three of the past four. Roberto Martinez’s side have also kept just two clean sheets at home in the league this season, coming against the bottom two, Aston Villa and Newcastle. Romelu Lukaku (pictured above) has scored six goals in his past six games.

 

 

Confirmed bet (card finalised)

Everton v Arsenal DRAW (one unit @ $3.10)
Chelsea v West Ham United BTS (one unit @ $1.72)
West Bromwich Albion WIN v Norwich City (one unit @ $2.25)

 

Today’s other games

Crystal Palace v Leicester City
Watford v Stoke City
Swansea City v Aston Villa

 

Most recent results: 2-0-0, +3.0 units; overall results: 50-5-53, +13.57 units

Stoke City v Southampton WIN (one unit @ $2.80) WIN (1-2)
Norwich City v Manchester City -2.5 total (one unit @ $2.20) WIN (0-0)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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