EPL betting: Still plenty at stake in latest Manchester Derby

Updated: March 20, 2016

EPL featured betting preview: Manchester City (15-6-8, 51 pts) v Manchester United (13-8-8, 57 pts), Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England; Monday, March 21, 3am – for the latest EPL standings, click here



The math suggest that Manchester City are still in the title picture. They lie 15 points behind Leicester City with two games in hand and nine to play in total. But the reality is that without the Foxes suffering a major slump, the Sky Blues have little chance to erasing the deficit. That creates an unusual scenario for this 171st Manchester Derby, which could signal the end of the line for City’s title hopes, or for Manchester United’s attempts to qualify for the Champions League football next season. Neither side is in great shape. City will be without captain Vincent Kompany.

He suffered a recurrence of a calf injury against Dynamo Kiev during the week while fellow defender Nicolas Otamendi, who picked up a cork in that game, will be assessed. Kevin De Bruyne continues his recovery from a serious knee ligament injury. City have won just one of their past five Premier League games (D1, L3). They have scored four goals in three of their past six home matches and a total of 39 in the league at home this season – 10 more than any other top-flight team had managed prior to the weekend. City are seeking a 50th competitive win in the Manchester derby (W49, D51, L70).



United’s recent defeats at Sunderland, Midtjylland, West Bromwich Albion and Liverpool have been punctuated by only one win, and that came at Shrewsbury! They have won on just one of their past five league visits to the Etihad Stadium (D1, L3). The Red Devils have taken just one point from a possible nine in their past three away games and they’ve won just one of their past eight away games (D3, L4). Only Wayne Rooney (18) has been directly involved in more goals than Anthony Martial (16) in all competitions for United this season while Marcus Rashford has been involved in three of their past four league goals, scoring twice and setting up another.

But Rooney remains sidelined with Phil Jones, Ashley Young and Luke Shaw also still sidelined. A Europa League exit to their fierce rivals Liverpool rubbed salt into some already gaping wounds. Only the FA Cup remains in terms of potential silverware but a trip to West Ham for a quarter-final replay is hardly the most attractive proposition. Under the Louis van Gaal, United love to keep possession and not take too many risks. It’s a game-plan that the Red Devils have had neither the talent nor inclination to implement away from Old Trafford.



Confirmed bet (card finalised)

Manchester City WIN v Manchester United (one unit @ $1.85)
Tottenham Hotspur -1hcp v Bournemouth (one unit @ $2.30)


Today’s other games

Newcastle v Sunderland
Southampton v Liverpool


Most recent results: 1-0-2, -1.28 units; overall results: 51-5-55, +12.29 units

Everton v Arsenal DRAW (one unit @ $3.10) LOSE (0-2)
Chelsea v West Ham United BTS (one unit @ $1.72) WIN (2-2)
West Bromwich Albion WIN v Norwich City (one unit @ $2.25) LOSE (0-1)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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