Super Rugby round 2 betting: Aussie powerhouses battle in Canberra

Updated: March 3, 2016

Super Rugby round 2 featured betting preview: ACT Brumbies v NSW Waratahs; GIO Stadium, Canberra, ACT; Friday, March 4, 7.40pm (latest standings here)



It’s one of the most anticipated fixtures of any Australian footy code with fans not having to wait too long for the latest instalment of the rivalry between the ACT Brumbies and NSW Waratahs on this year’s Super Rugby schedule. The Brumbies made an awesome start to 2016 by smashing last year’s runaway leaders the Hurricanes 52-10, running in seven tries to one. Scott Sio returns to the starting side and Blake Enever will make his first appearance of 2016. Enever replaces Rory Arnold at lock in the starting side. Both sides have plenty of Wallabies in their ranks which will make this a fascinating duel.

But there will be extra pressure on the home side in Canberra tonight as they have been on the losing side in this fixture in the past four encounters, and have won only two of their past seven matches against the Waratahs. The Brumbies, comparatively stable rolling over from 2015 compared to their opponents, were easily the more impressive outfit last weekend and the home advantage also plays into their hands. The hosts will target the Waratahs scrum – particularly ex-Blues prop Angus Ta’avao. The Brumbies are a modest 6-3 at home since the start of last season (4-5 ATS) and home favourites fared poorly (36-56) against the start in 2015.



A huge area of focus will be the breakdown battle with Australia’s two leading openside flankers in action – David Pocock (pictured above) and Michael Hooper. The Waratahs are unchanged from their opening round 30-10 win over the Queensland Reds, with Matt Carraro, Zac Guildford and David Horwitz all impressing in a new-look backline. The Tahs were 20-0 up at half time against the Queenslanders but seemed to lose their momentum in the second 40 minutes. Coach Daryl Gibson has named an unchanged starting line-up for this clash. The Sydneysiders’ lock Dean Mumm will play his 100th provincial game, becoming the Waratahs’ highest capped second-row.

Tatafu Polota-Nau will become equal-second highest capped Waratah. These sides have already met this year with the Waratahs claiming a hard-fought 21-17 win in a pre-season match in Wagga Wagga. The win was set up by tries from David Horwitz, Bryce Hegarty and Ta’avao. For the Brumbies, Josh Mann-Rea, Allan Ala’alatoa and Michael Wells scored tries. Despite the level of rivalry between these clubs, six of the past 10 meetings have ended in margins of 15 points or more. The home side has prevailed 22 times in the franchises’ 27 meetings to date. The Waratahs have won an amazing 20 of their past 24 away games.



Confirmed bets (card finalised)

ACT Brumbies v NSW Waratahs +7.5 (one unit @ $1.91)


Other R2 games (times AEDT)

Friday, March 4 (5.40pm): Canterbury Crusaders v Auckland Blues; AMI Stadium, Christchurch, NZ
Saturday, March 5 (3.15pm): Waikato Chiefs v Johannesburg Lions; FMG Stadium Waikato, Hamilton, NZ
Saturday, March 5 (5.35pm): Otago Highlanders v Wellington Hurricanes; Forsyth Barr Stadium, Dunedin, NZ
Saturday, March 5 (7.45pm): Queensland Reds v Western Force; Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Qld
Sunday, March 6 (12am): Pretoria Bulls v Melbourne Rebels; Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Pretoria, Sth Africa
Sunday, March 6 (2.10am): Bloemfontein Cheetahs v Cape Town Stormers; Toyota Stadium, Bloemfontein, Sth Africa
Sunday, March 6 (4.20am): Durban Sharks v Argentina Jaguares; Kings Park Stadium, Durban, Sth Africa


Last week’s results: 3-0-1, +1.73 units

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Pinnaclebet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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