FA Cup betting: Blues favoured with City focussing on trip to Kiev

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Updated: February 21, 2016

Today’s featured FA Cup fifth round betting preview: Chelsea v Manchester City; Stamford Bridge, London, England; Monday, February 22, 3am – check here for the latest FA Cup news & results

 

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Reading, Watford and Everton are through to the FA Cup quarter-finals are their respective victories in yesterday’s round of 16 games. Reigning champions Arsenal have had another match added to an already exhaustive fixture list after they drew 0-0 with Championship pacesetters Hull. But the heavyweight match-up of round five is scheduled for today as Chelsea host Manchester City. Amid the myriad storylines at play here, the most intriguing is the approach that Manuel Pellegrini will adopt with a crucial trip to the Ukraine to face Dynamo Kiev in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday night. Based on his comments midweek, Pellegrini will rest several first XI players, so youngsters such as Bersant Celina and Manu Garcia could feature. Bacary Sagna is back in training and may return from a knee problem. This is the third FA Cup meeting in four seasons between these sides.

 

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Manchester City won the previous two, knocking out holders Chelsea in an enthralling 2013 semi-final then enjoying a 2-0 home win in the fifth round in 2014. A loss to Paris St Germain in the Champions League earlier this week aside, Chelsea are a different side under Guus Hiddink. Their last domestic defeat was on December 14. Hiddink has won all five of his FA Cup matches in charge of Chelsea. The Blues are in the fifth round for the 16th time in 18 seasons. The only defeat in their past 29 FA Cup games at Stamford Bridge came after they surrendered a 2-0 lead against League One Bradford in last season’s fourth round (W24, D4, L1). Six of their seven FA Cup wins have come in the past 19 years. Captain John Terry (pictured above) will be sidelined due to the hamstring injury he suffered against Newcastle last weekend.

Four of the past five games between these two sides have finished with fewer than three goals

Manchester City won the trophy for the fifth time when they beat Stoke in 2011, but were beaten by Wigan in the final in 2013. They have not lost an away tie in the FA Cup for six years, dating back to a 3-1 fifth-round replay loss to Stoke after extra-time (W3, D3). The Sky Blues beat Premier League opposition away in each of the previous two rounds (3-0 v Norwich and 4-0 v Aston Villa). City lost their past two in the league (albeit to Leicester and Tottenham Hotspur), and have picked up 15 points in their past 10 games, compared to Chelsea’s 18. The Blues start as big favourites – a sign that punters are recognising their quality and improvement under Hiddink. Four of the past five games between these two sides have finished with fewer than three goals, and that’s a reasonable (and value) expectation here.

 

 

Confirmed bets (card finalised; PL = Premier League CH = Championship)

Chelsea (PL) v Manchester City (PL) -2.5 (one unit @ $1.91)
Tottenham Hotspur (PL) v Crystal Palace (PL) BTS (one unit @ $2.00)

 

Today’s other game

Blackburn Rovers (CC) v West Ham United (PL)

 

Yesterday’s results: 1-0-1, +0.1 units; overall record: 13-0-12, +2.65 units

Arsenal v Hull City -2.5 goals (one unit @ $2.10) WIN (0-0)
Reading v West Bromwich Albion DRAW/-2.5 (one unit @ $3.40) LOSE (3-1)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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