RWC betting: Aussies face another stern test against Welsh

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Updated: October 10, 2015

Rugby World Championship featured betting preview – Pool A: Australia (3-0-0) v Wales (3-0-0), Twickenham, London, England; Sunday, October 11, 2.50am (for nation profiles, click here; for the tournament schedule, click here)

 

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Australia and Wales will fight it out to take top spot in Pool A on Saturday when they meet at Twickenham. Before the Rugby World Cup kicked-off, this was expected to be an important match-up for both sides, but their outstanding wins over England over the past fortnight have raised the stakes considerably. Wales, it shouldn’t be forgotten, have advanced without two players who were considered integral to their success in this tournament – Rhys Webb and Leigh Halfpenny – while Gareth Davies and Dan Biggar have stepped up admirably.

But Warren Gatland’s side still had to dig deep to prevail over Fiji last Thursday only a few days after their euphoric win at Twickenham. Leaving out Gethin Jenkins to go with Paul James is a surprising call from Gatland, but Wales need to tighten up at scrum-time after the way they were harrassed by Fiji. The 33-year-old started against Uruguay but has otherwise been confined to the bench in 2015. James might not offer what Jenkins does around the park, but hold his own against an in-form Sekope Kepu and his work will be done.

 

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The Wallabies celebrate their victory over England seven days ago in a Pool A clash at the 2015 Rugby World Cup

They will have enjoyed a nine-day break to prepare for the Wallabies but watching this weekend’s foe hammer England has allowed Gatland to relax a little knowing Wales are through – reflected in him publicly expressing sympathy for the hosts and experimenting with his selections. Wales haven’t defeated Australia since 2008 but the margins in the past five match-ups have been 2, 1, 2, 4 and 5. Gatland’s efforts with Wales are mirrored by the achievements of Michael Chieka. Winning the battle with the ARU to bring back in players like Matt Giteau and Drew Mitchell has paid off.

That’s also the case with the return to Australia of Dean Mumm and Kane Douglas. The new lock pairing were off the Wallabies’ grid at the start of 2015 but having won spots in the squad, ahead of former captain James Horwill, Cheika’s move to bring them back in is working. Watching Israel Folau line up against former Chiefs’ full-back Gareth Anscombe will be among the highlights of this clash. Wales will be the best coached and most talented side the Wallabies will face in pool play but we still expect the Aussie to prevail by a similar scoreline to their recent meetings.

 

 

Confirmed bet

Australia (by 1-12) v Wales (one unit @ $2.50)

Most recent results: 1-0, +0.91 units; overall record: 10-1, +9.74 units

England v Australia +2.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (13-33)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Pinnaclebet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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