Rugby World Cup betting: All Blacks, Wallabies to decide title

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Updated: October 31, 2015

Rugby World Championship final betting preview – New Zealand v Australia: Twickenham, London, England; Sunday, November 1, 3am

 

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After a marathon tournament, the 2015 Rugby World Championship title will be decided tonight at Twickenham when two of the sport’s greatest rivals, Australia and New Zealand, go to battle. Remarkably Australia have never lost a World Cup game on British soil, stretching back through three World Cups, including both of their previous wins in 1991 and 1999. In contrast, New Zealand is still to win a World Cup on foreign soil, while both teams target an unprecedented third world title. The only previous final between southern hemisphere teams also turned out badly for the All Blacks.

Than came when Joel Stansky’s late drop goal famously gave the Springboks victory in 1995. While those stats count against the All Blacks, recent history is certainly on their side, with just one defeat in their last 12 games against the Wallabies. That came in Sydney this year, and also cost them the Rugby Championship, but even the most stubborn Kiwi supporters would probably take that loss if it means a win at Twickenham on Saturday.

 

 

That game in Sydney was the only time they’ve ever faced the combination of Michael Hooper and David Pocock (pictured below) and that will surely be the key to the game. Australia have been a revelation in the World Cup and their performances have highlighted the exceptional transformation under Michael Cheika in the last year. The Wallabies looked in disarray 12 months ago but since Cheika has taken over he has helped resolve their issues in the scrum and given his players the belief they can compete with the best.

This all started with their Rugby Championship triumph this summer and rolled on into this tournament where Australia topped the toughest pool with victories over England and Wales. They did have one huge escape with a fortunate win over Scotland at the death in their last-eight tie but it showed their ability to win at all costs. The Wallabies’ display in their 29-15 win over Argentina in the semi-final was much more impressive and demonstrated their clinical finishing which will be a threat to the champions.

 

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The All Blacks have been on a mission since their triumph on home soil four years ago to become the first team to successfully defend the trophy. The world’s top ranked team have so far handled all the pressure as short-priced favourites, having overcome a host of different obstacles throughout the competition. New Zealand have stuck with the same 23 that beat the Springboks, which means no place for Wyatt Crockett. He limped off half an hour into the quarter-final win over France.

Instead it will be Joe Moody, not in the squad at the start of the tournament, who starts the World Cup final. The top two sides in the world meet in a World Cup final for arguably the first time since 1995 and yet it’s hard to see past New Zealand. But World Cup finals have often been tense, tight affairs and this year’s showdown may be no different. New Zealand only scraped past France 8-7 four years ago and four of the past six have been settled by a maximum of six points.

 

 

Confirmed bet

New Zealand v Australia +6 (one unit @ $1.91)

 

Most recent results: 0-1, -1.0 units; overall record: 13-3, +12.34 units

Argentina +6 v Australia (one unit @ $1.93) LOSE (15-29)

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Time (AET); prices with thanks to Pinnaclebet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.

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