AFL betting (round 5 for April 25): Bombers, Magpies bring indifferent form to ANZAC Day blockbuster
The 2017 ANZAC Day clash might not have the expectations of recent...
EPL featured betting preview: Swansea City (4-3-3, 15 pts) v Arsenal (4-5-1, 17 pts), Liberty Stadium, Swansea, UK; Monday, November 10, 3am
Arsenal will be out to leave their stuttering form behind when they visit Swansea City in a battle of fifth versus seventh. The Gunners have won four games in the Premier League so far this season and make the trek to Wales having blown a three-goal lead to draw 3-3 against Belgian club Anderlecht in their Champions League matchday 4 clash during the week. A comfortable victory over struggling Burnley last weekend has not been enough to silence the critics and the meeting with Swansea will be far from straight forward. The Gunners have won successive league games for the first time this season but their four wins this season have all come against teams that started this weekend in the bottom six. Arsenal will welcome Jack Wilshere back from illness after the England midfielder sat out the past two games. Mikel Arteta has been ruled out after picking up a hamstring injury but Theo Walcott is fit enough to start if he is selected following his first appearance since January as a substitute last weekend.
Fans attending the game would be advised not to leave early because recent encounters between these two teams have included a hatful of late goals. The last six match-ups have included nine scored in the final 10 minutes of the match. Garry Monk’s men have only been beaten by Southampton at home this season as they have made their best start to a Premier League campaign, taking 15 points from 10 games. That form places Swansea seventh in the table ahead of this game and they could overtake Arsenal if they can repeat their dramatic 3-2 win in Wales of January 2012. Star striker Wilfried Bony has scored four goals in the league this season and will most likely be the biggest threat to Arsenal. Not for the first time this season, Swansea will be without Jonjo Shelvey due to suspension after the midfielder was sent off against Everton. Leon Britton is back in full training after his knee injury but he is not expected to return to first-team action until the end of November.
Confirmed bets (card finalised)
Swansea City (double chance) v Arsenal (one unit @ $1.70) – at their best, the Gunners’ football is sublime and equal to the best in the League. At their worst, their defenders look as if they need name tags. We like that the Swans look well organised at the back (Lukas Fabianski has five clean sheets in 10 league games) while Garry Monk has used just 18 players this season (six have played every game). But Swansea are W1 D3 L3 in their past seven League games, so we’ll take some insurance on them grabbing a slice of the pie here.
West Bromwich Albion v Newcastle United BTS (one unit @ $1.75) – the Magpies have earned more points from their past three matches (10) than in the previous 16 fixtures (nine). Nine of Newcastle’s 11 league goals this season have come in the second half of matches, while five of their goals have been scored by substitutes. Only Southampton (6) and Swansea (5) have kept more clean sheets in the Premier League than West Brom (4) this season but we fancy the momentum flowing in Newcastle’s direction will be enough for them to challenge the Baggies here.
Today’s other games
Sunderland v Everton
Tottenham Hotspur v Stoke City
Most recent results: 1-0-1, -0.4 units; overall record: 12-4-13, +0.68 units
West Ham WIN v Aston Villa (1.5 units @ $1.75) LOSE (0-0)
Southampton -1 v Leicester City (one unit @ $2.10) WIN (2-0)
• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Bet365 (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication. Results/comments on today’s games/races will follow in the next post.